PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
30-26 | Road
135
MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
35-22 | Home
108
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
0%
TIMBERWOLVES
100%
76ERS
--
TIMBERWOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
251.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+7.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIN +7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
PHI By 1-7 points
26.2%
PHI By 8-14 points
25.3%
MIN By 1-7 points
15.3%
MIN By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
129
PHILADELPHIA
Minnesota
122
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
109
PHILADELPHIA
Minnesota
115
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
76ers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Timberwolves
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Timberwolves (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +7.0
D
Sim
Timberwolves (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o239.0
Win
Proj Total: 251.0
D
Sim
u239.0
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 3, 2026
MIN @ PHI
103 - 115
Feb 22, 2026
PHI @ MIN
135 - 108
Apr 5, 2025
MIN @ PHI
114 - 109
Mar 4, 2025
PHI @ MIN
112 - 126
Oct 11, 2024
PHI @ MIN
111 - 121
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.4%
Philadelphia: 82.2%
vs
Minnesota: 68.8%
Assists (L5)
+37.9% more
Minnesota: 27.0
vs
Philadelphia: 19.6
Turnovers (L5)
+16.2% more
Minnesota: 16.3
vs
Philadelphia: 14.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.8%
Minnesota: 49.9%
vs
Philadelphia: 41.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
129.0
135
MIN Score
122.0
108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.4 / 29.3
30.0 / 57.0
Assists
27.0 / 19.6
22.0 / 31.0
Blocks
6.8 / 6.9
8.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
49.9 / 41.0
48.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
68.8 / 82.2
83.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
46.7 / 43.3
39.0 / 39.0
Steals
9.3 / 9.6
7.0 / 14.0
Turnovers
16.3 / 14.0
21.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
PHI
MIN
PHI
ML
54%
63-53
63%
69-40
54%
50-43
48%
45-48
ATS
58%
67-49
65%
71-38
54%
50-43
48%
45-48
TTL
63%
72-43-1
55%
60-49
100%
93-0
100%
93-0
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