BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
15-40 | Road
104
ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
27-31 | Home
115
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
0%
HAWKS
100%
NETS
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
228.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+6.0
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ATL +6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
BKN By 1-7 points
26.8%
BKN By 8-14 points
24.3%
ATL By 1-7 points
16.9%
ATL By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
117
BROOKLYN
Atlanta
111
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
110
BROOKLYN
Atlanta
118
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Nets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hawks (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +6.0
D
Sim
Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u228.0
Win
Proj Total: 228.0
D
Sim
u228.0
Win
Proj Total: 228.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 3, 2026
ATL @ BKN
141 - 107
Mar 12, 2026
BKN @ ATL
97 - 108
Feb 22, 2026
BKN @ ATL
104 - 115
Oct 29, 2025
ATL @ BKN
117 - 112
Apr 10, 2025
ATL @ BKN
133 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+23.8% more
Brooklyn: 17.5
vs
Atlanta: 13.3
Blocks (L5)
+16.6% more
Brooklyn: 5.1
vs
Atlanta: 4.2
Steals (L5)
+14.9% more
Brooklyn: 9.0
vs
Atlanta: 7.6
Rebounding (L5)
+9.6% more
Atlanta: 45.4
vs
Brooklyn: 41.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
117.0
104
ATL Score
111.0
115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.8 / 29.2
39.0 / 35.0
Assists
26.1 / 23.8
28.0 / 29.0
Blocks
4.2 / 5.1
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
42.2 / 40.8
48.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
72.0 / 73.0
86.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
45.4 / 41.4
52.0 / 34.0
Steals
7.6 / 9.0
10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 17.5
17.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
ATL
Advantage
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
ATL
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
BKN
ATL
BKN
ML
50%
52-52
53%
50-45
55%
48-40
59%
48-34
ATS
53%
55-48-1
52%
48-44-3
55%
48-40
59%
48-34
TTL
53%
55-48-1
57%
54-41
100%
88-0
100%
82-0
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