TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
33-23 | Road
122
MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
24-30 | Home
94
AI Model Win Probability
RAPTORS
100%
BUCKS
0%
RAPTORS
--
BUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
208.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIL -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
TOR By 1-7 points
2.7%
TOR By 8-14 points
0.5%
MIL By 1-7 points
10.7%
MIL By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
95
TORONTO
Milwaukee
113
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Toronto
110
TORONTO
Milwaukee
118
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bucks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bucks (+3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Bucks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u218.5
Win
Proj Total: 208.0
D
Sim
u218.5
Win
Proj Total: 228.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 22, 2026
TOR @ MIL
122 - 94
Dec 18, 2025
TOR @ MIL
111 - 105
Nov 4, 2025
MIL @ TOR
100 - 128
Oct 24, 2025
MIL @ TOR
122 - 116
Jan 17, 2025
TOR @ MIL
112 - 130
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.2%
Milwaukee: 39.9%
vs
Toronto: 33.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.1%
Milwaukee: 51.7%
vs
Toronto: 45.5%
Steals (L5)
+31.3% more
Toronto: 10.6
vs
Milwaukee: 7.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.8%
Toronto: 83.2%
vs
Milwaukee: 77.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
95.0
122
MIL Score
113.0
94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.9 / 33.7
28.0 / 35.0
Assists
25.4 / 25.8
18.0 / 34.0
Blocks
5.8 / 5.6
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
51.7 / 45.5
41.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
77.4 / 83.2
79.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
42.8 / 42.9
46.0 / 45.0
Steals
7.3 / 10.6
4.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
14.3 / 14.6
19.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
Advantage
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
TOR
MIL
TOR
ML
64%
61-35
55%
57-47
60%
49-32
55%
48-39
ATS
68%
65-31
61%
62-40-2
60%
49-32
55%
48-39
TTL
55%
53-43
60%
62-42
100%
81-0
100%
87-0
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