AI Model Win Probability
TERRIERS
0%
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
100%
TERRIERS
--
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
131.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Boston University)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BU -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BU)
BU By 1-7 points
9.3%
BU By 8-14 points
20.1%
LEH By 1-7 points
2.2%
LEH By 8-14 points
0.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston University
75
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Lehigh
56
LEHIGH
Simulated Score
Boston University
70
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Lehigh
72
LEHIGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Terriers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mountain Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Terriers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Mountain Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 131.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 11, 2026
BU @ LEH
60 - 74
Feb 22, 2026
BU @ LEH
67 - 70
Jan 14, 2026
LEH @ BU
93 - 91
Feb 26, 2025
BU @ LEH
79 - 68
Jan 15, 2025
LEH @ BU
58 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+18.1% more
Boston University: 17.9
vs
Lehigh: 14.6
Rebounding (L5)
+16.1% more
Boston University: 37.4
vs
Lehigh: 31.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+15.7%
Boston University: 48.9%
vs
Lehigh: 33.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.2%
Boston University: 51.2%
vs
Lehigh: 46.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BU Score
75.0
67
LEH Score
56.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.2 / 48.9
42.0 / 33.0
Assists
14.6 / 17.9
15.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.2 / 3.4
2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
46.0 / 51.2
50.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
72.0 / 73.3
92.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
31.3 / 37.4
28.0 / 25.0
Steals
6.2 / 4.2
6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 10.3
10.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BU
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.2
LEH
Advantage
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BU
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.2
LEH
18-14-1
(56.3%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
BU
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: +8.4
LEH
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LEH
BU
LEH
BU
ML
56%
19-15
68%
23-11
68%
23-11
62%
21-13
ATS
56%
19-15
62%
21-13
68%
23-11
62%
21-13
TTL
76%
26-8
65%
22-12
100%
34-0
100%
34-0