Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Crusaders @ Bison HC @ BUCK

HOLY CROSS

CRUSADERSHC

9-19  |  Road

72
FINAL
Sun, Feb 22 • 12:00 PM ET
Sojka Pavilion
View Odds Details →

BUCKNELL

BISONBUCK

8-20  |  Home

63
AI Model Win Probability
CRUSADERS
0%
📊
BISON
100%
CRUSADERS --
BISON --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
HOLY CROSS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Holy Cross)
CrusadersHC (-3.5) 0 BisonBUCK (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Crusaders Cover

98.6%

Bison Cover

1.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HC -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HC)

HC By 1-7 points

5.8%

HC By 8-14 points

15.3%

BUCK By 1-7 points

1.1%

BUCK By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
79
HOLY CROSS
57
BUCKNELL
Simulated Score
68
HOLY CROSS
72
BUCKNELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Crusaders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bison Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Crusaders (-2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim Bison (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 22, 2026 HC @ BUCK 72 - 63
Dec 31, 2025 BUCK @ HC 58 - 65
Mar 1, 2025 BUCK @ HC 94 - 81
Jan 15, 2025 HC @ BUCK 82 - 86
Feb 21, 2024 BUCK @ HC 59 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +12.0% more
Holy Cross: 2.2 vs Bucknell: 1.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.0%
Holy Cross: 34.6% vs Bucknell: 24.6%
Field Goal % (L5) +5.2%
Holy Cross: 47.9% vs Bucknell: 42.7%
Free Throw % (L5) +2.7%
Holy Cross: 78.2% vs Bucknell: 75.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HC Score 79.0 72
BUCK Score 57.0 63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 24.6 / 34.6 19.0 / 47.0
Assists 13.9 / 11.1 9.0 / 12.0
Blocks 1.9 / 2.2 0.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 42.7 / 47.9 37.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 75.4 / 78.2 87.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 30.4 / 30.3 35.0 / 29.0
Steals 6.3 / 5.0 8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.9 / 8.2 10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
30%MONEY70%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
26%MONEY74%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
21%MONEY79%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HC Advantage
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
BUCK
10-23-0 (30.3%)
Margin: -8.9 ATS +/-: -3.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HC Advantage
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
BUCK
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -8.9 ATS +/-: -3.9
⚖️ Over/Under
HC
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.3
BUCK
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUCK
HC
BUCK
HC
ML
55% 18-15
52% 16-15
64% 21-12
61% 19-12
ATS
45% 15-18
55% 17-14
64% 21-12
64% 21-12
TTL
61% 20-13
58% 18-13
100% 33-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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