UAB
BLAZERSUAB
17-10 | Road
78
MEMPHIS
TIGERSMEM
12-14 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
BLAZERS
100%
TIGERS
0%
BLAZERS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MEMPHIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Memphis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MEM -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MEM)
UAB By 1-7 points
24.3%
UAB By 8-14 points
13.7%
MEM By 1-7 points
26.2%
MEM By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
UAB
69
UAB
Memphis
70
MEMPHIS
Simulated Score
UAB
73
UAB
Memphis
76
MEMPHIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+5.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 22, 2026
UAB @ MEM
78 - 67
Feb 5, 2026
MEM @ UAB
90 - 80
Mar 16, 2025
UAB @ MEM
72 - 84
Mar 2, 2025
MEM @ UAB
88 - 81
Jan 26, 2025
UAB @ MEM
77 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+76.7% more
Memphis: 13.2
vs
UAB: 7.4
Blocks (L5)
+18.6% more
Memphis: 4.6
vs
UAB: 3.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.9%
Memphis: 77.9%
vs
UAB: 69.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.8%
Memphis: 31.7%
vs
UAB: 27.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UAB Score
69.0
78
MEM Score
70.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.7 / 27.8
22.0 / 32.0
Assists
12.2 / 12.7
9.0 / 15.0
Blocks
4.6 / 3.9
6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
39.2 / 41.9
46.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
77.9 / 69.0
64.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
37.6 / 38.0
32.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.4 / 6.6
7.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 7.4
15.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UAB
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
MEM
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-: -2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UAB
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
MEM
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-: -2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UAB
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.8
MEM
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MEM
UAB
MEM
UAB
ML
62%
20-12
59%
19-13
68%
21-10
41%
13-19
ATS
62%
20-12
56%
18-14
68%
21-10
41%
13-19
TTL
66%
21-11
69%
22-10
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
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