TOWSON
TIGERSTOW
14-13 | Road
62
DREXEL
DRAGONSDREX
14-14 | Home
68
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
DRAGONS
100%
TIGERS
--
DRAGONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
TOWSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Towson)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TOW -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOW)
TOW By 1-7 points
9.3%
TOW By 8-14 points
20.1%
DREX By 1-7 points
2.2%
DREX By 8-14 points
0.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Towson
77
TOWSON
Drexel
58
DREXEL
Simulated Score
Towson
69
TOWSON
Drexel
78
DREXEL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Tigers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dragons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Tigers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Dragons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o131.5
Loss
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim
u131.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 22, 2026
TOW @ DREX
62 - 68
Jan 19, 2026
DREX @ TOW
58 - 59
Mar 9, 2025
DREX @ TOW
76 - 82
Feb 1, 2025
DREX @ TOW
54 - 55
Jan 11, 2025
TOW @ DREX
93 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+17.3% more
Towson: 39.9
vs
Drexel: 33.0
Steals (L5)
+41.0% more
Drexel: 6.1
vs
Towson: 4.3
Assists (L5)
+37.0% more
Drexel: 13.5
vs
Towson: 9.9
Turnovers (L5)
+24.7% more
Drexel: 14.3
vs
Towson: 11.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOW Score
77.0
62
DREX Score
58.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.9 / 35.3
22.0 / 31.0
Assists
13.5 / 9.9
6.0 / 6.0
Blocks
2.9 / 3.1
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
49.9 / 44.6
42.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
67.0 / 59.4
61.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
33.0 / 39.9
43.0 / 29.0
Steals
6.1 / 4.3
0.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
14.3 / 11.5
10.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOW
Advantage
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.8
DREX
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOW
14-17-1
(45.2%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.8
DREX
Advantage
18-13-1
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
TOW
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6%
Total +/-: -5.5
DREX
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DREX
TOW
DREX
TOW
ML
58%
19-14
66%
21-11
81%
26-6
62%
20-12
ATS
70%
23-10
66%
21-11
81%
26-6
62%
20-12
TTL
48%
16-17
53%
17-15
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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