Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Panthers WIN @ HPU

WINTHROP

EAGLESWIN

20-8  |  Road

87
FINAL
Sat, Feb 21 • 4:00 PM ET
Qubein Center
View Odds Details →

HIGH POINT

PANTHERSHPU

25-4  |  Home

89
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
📊
PANTHERS
100%
EAGLES --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
HIGH POINT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
EaglesWIN (-3.5) 0 PanthersHPU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

42.1%

Panthers Cover

57.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HPU +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HPU)

WIN By 1-7 points

26.8%

WIN By 8-14 points

18.6%

HPU By 1-7 points

23.0%

HPU By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
78
WINTHROP
76
HIGH POINT
Simulated Score
73
WINTHROP
77
HIGH POINT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+9.5) Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u165.5 Loss
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim u165.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 8, 2026 WIN @ HPU 76 - 91
Feb 21, 2026 WIN @ HPU 87 - 89
Jan 14, 2026 HPU @ WIN 75 - 92
Mar 9, 2025 WIN @ HPU 69 - 81
Feb 15, 2025 HPU @ WIN 88 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +18.3% more
Winthrop: 12.5 vs High Point: 10.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.4%
Winthrop: 34.6% vs High Point: 29.2%
Blocks (L5) +143.8% more
High Point: 4.3 vs Winthrop: 1.8
Steals (L5) +60.4% more
High Point: 12.3 vs Winthrop: 7.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WIN Score 78.0 87
HPU Score 76.0 89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.2 / 34.6 35.0 / 30.0
Assists 15.1 / 16.4 17.0 / 12.0
Blocks 4.3 / 1.8 7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 46.5 / 44.2 49.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 80.6 / 71.3 80.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 38.5 / 40.3 34.0 / 41.0
Steals 12.3 / 7.7 2.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.2 / 12.5 13.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
9%MONEY91%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
26%MONEY74%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
79%MONEY21%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WIN
23-11-0 (67.7%)
Margin: 8.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
HPU Advantage
31-5-0 (86.1%)
Margin: 18.5 ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WIN
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 8.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
HPU Advantage
17-15-1 (53.1%)
Margin: 18.5 ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WIN
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.3
HPU
22-11-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HPU
WIN
HPU
WIN
ML
80% 28-7
70% 23-10
80% 28-7
79% 26-7
ATS
71% 25-10
79% 26-7
80% 28-7
79% 26-7
TTL
66% 23-12
58% 19-14
100% 35-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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