SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
12-45 | Road
122
SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
39-16 | Home
139
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
100%
SPURS
0%
KINGS
--
SPURS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
231.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
SAN ANTONIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (San Antonio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SA -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SA)
SAC By 1-7 points
18.6%
SAC By 8-14 points
8.0%
SA By 1-7 points
27.2%
SA By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Sacramento
113
SACRAMENTO
San Antonio
118
SAN ANTONIO
Simulated Score
Sacramento
109
SACRAMENTO
San Antonio
118
SAN ANTONIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Spurs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spurs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Spurs (+18)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Spurs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o230.0
Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Sim
u230.0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 17, 2026
SA @ SAC
132 - 104
Feb 21, 2026
SAC @ SA
122 - 139
Nov 16, 2025
SAC @ SA
110 - 123
Mar 7, 2025
SA @ SAC
109 - 127
Dec 6, 2024
SAC @ SA
140 - 113
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+88.9% more
San Antonio: 6.8
vs
Sacramento: 3.6
Assists (L5)
+38.3% more
San Antonio: 31.9
vs
Sacramento: 23.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+10.8%
San Antonio: 51.8%
vs
Sacramento: 41.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.0%
San Antonio: 34.1%
vs
Sacramento: 27.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SAC Score
113.0
122
SA Score
118.0
139
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.1 / 27.0
38.0 / 28.0
Assists
31.9 / 23.1
32.0 / 33.0
Blocks
6.8 / 3.6
7.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
51.8 / 41.1
55.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
82.3 / 79.0
79.0 / 92.0
Rebounding
48.2 / 45.4
48.0 / 35.0
Steals
7.4 / 8.7
5.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 15.9
18.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SA
SAC
SA
SAC
ML
60%
111-73
55%
55-45
58%
61-44
61%
50-32
ATS
58%
107-76-1
54%
52-45-3
58%
61-44
61%
50-32
TTL
74%
134-47-3
58%
57-42-1
100%
105-0
100%
82-0
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Takes Blame for Thunder's Game 7 Loss, B…
Wallabies Select Suaalii on Wing, Henry to Debut in Bledisloe Cu…
Tampa Bay Rays Expected to Exercise $13 Million Club Option on Y…