Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Owls @ Shockers TEM @ WICH

TEMPLE

OWLSTEM

15-11  |  Road

57
FINAL
Sat, Feb 21 • 6:00 PM ET
Charles Koch Arena
View Odds Details →

WICHITA STATE

SHOCKERSWICH

17-10  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
100%
📊
SHOCKERS
0%
OWLS --
SHOCKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
WICHITA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Wichita State)
OwlsTEM (-3.5) 0 ShockersWICH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Owls Cover

42.1%

Shockers Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WICH -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WICH)

TEM By 1-7 points

23.0%

TEM By 8-14 points

12.2%

WICH By 1-7 points

26.8%

WICH By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
71
TEMPLE
73
WICHITA STATE
Simulated Score
71
TEMPLE
78
WICHITA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Shockers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Shockers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Shockers (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Shockers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o142.5 Loss
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 21, 2026 TEM @ WICH 57 - 69
Jan 3, 2025 WICH @ TEM 85 - 91
Feb 25, 2024 TEM @ WICH 72 - 66
Jan 7, 2024 WICH @ TEM 61 - 68
Feb 16, 2023 WICH @ TEM 79 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +52.8% more
Wichita State: 6.9 vs Temple: 4.5
Turnovers (L5) +31.8% more
Wichita State: 11.5 vs Temple: 8.7
Rebounding (L5) +16.1% more
Wichita State: 41.7 vs Temple: 35.9
Field Goal % (L5) +2.6%
Wichita State: 45.0% vs Temple: 42.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TEM Score 71.0 57
WICH Score 73.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 23.8 / 23.4 50.0 / 38.0
Assists 11.8 / 12.6 6.0 / 5.0
Blocks 3.8 / 3.9 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.0 / 42.4 42.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 62.7 / 68.0 72.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 41.7 / 35.9 39.0 / 28.0
Steals 6.9 / 4.5 4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.5 / 8.7 11.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
22%MONEY78%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
74%MONEY26%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
76%MONEY24%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEM
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.2 ATS +/-: +0.1
WICH Advantage
24-12-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +3.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEM
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: 3.2 ATS +/-: +0.1
WICH Advantage
22-13-0 (62.9%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +3.3
⚖️ Over/Under
TEM
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: -1.1
WICH
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WICH
TEM
WICH
TEM
ML
61% 22-14
62% 20-12
68% 23-11
67% 20-10
ATS
64% 23-13
56% 18-14
68% 23-11
67% 20-10
TTL
69% 25-11
69% 22-10
100% 34-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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