Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Pilots @ Redhawks PORT @ SEA

PORTLAND

PILOTSPORT

12-16  |  Road

59
FINAL
Sat, Feb 21 • 10:00 PM ET
Redhawk Center
View Odds Details →

SEATTLE U

REDHAWKSSEA

16-12  |  Home

71
AI Model Win Probability
PILOTS
0%
📊
REDHAWKS
100%
PILOTS --
REDHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
165.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+5.0
SEATTLE U
Book Spread
--
Book Line
PilotsPORT (-3.5) 0 RedhawksSEA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pilots Cover

30.9%

Redhawks Cover

69.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SEA +5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)

PORT By 1-7 points

27.2%

PORT By 8-14 points

23.0%

SEA By 1-7 points

18.6%

SEA By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
85
PORTLAND
80
SEATTLE U
Simulated Score
73
PORTLAND
78
SEATTLE U
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pilots Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Redhawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Redhawks (+6.5) Win
Proj Spread: +5.0
D
Sim Redhawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o137.5 Loss
Proj Total: 165.0
D
Sim u137.5 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 21, 2026 PORT @ SEA 59 - 71
Feb 7, 2026 SEA @ PORT 53 - 54
Nov 19, 2022 SEA @ PORT 80 - 68
Dec 30, 2020 PORT @ SEA 68 - 84
Nov 25, 2020 SEA @ PORT 84 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +39.9% more
Portland: 17.4 vs Seattle U: 10.4
Steals (L5) +20.1% more
Portland: 7.3 vs Seattle U: 5.8
Field Goal % (L5) +8.2%
Portland: 50.0% vs Seattle U: 41.8%
Free Throw % (L5) +5.2%
Portland: 76.1% vs Seattle U: 70.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PORT Score 85.0 59
SEA Score 80.0 71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.6 / 30.9 36.0 / 26.0
Assists 10.4 / 17.4 12.0 / 7.0
Blocks 4.7 / 2.9 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 41.8 / 50.0 38.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 70.9 / 76.1 77.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 31.5 / 28.0 33.0 / 29.0
Steals 5.8 / 7.3 12.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 12.2 / 13.0 10.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
14%MONEY86%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
54%MONEY46%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
31%MONEY69%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PORT
15-19-0 (44.1%)
Margin: -4.1 ATS +/-: +0.2
SEA Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PORT
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -4.1 ATS +/-: +0.2
SEA
15-17-1 (46.9%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
PORT
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3% Total +/-: -1.0
SEA
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: -4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
PORT
SEA
PORT
ML
46% 16-19
48% 16-17
71% 24-10
82% 27-6
ATS
57% 20-15
67% 22-11
71% 24-10
82% 28-6
TTL
49% 17-18
55% 18-15
100% 34-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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