HARVARD
CRIMSONHARV
14-10 | Road
73
CORNELL
BIG REDCOR
12-11 | Home
54
AI Model Win Probability
CRIMSON
100%
BIG RED
0%
CRIMSON
--
BIG RED
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
CORNELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Cornell)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COR -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COR)
HARV By 1-7 points
6.8%
HARV By 8-14 points
1.7%
COR By 1-7 points
18.6%
COR By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Harvard
74
HARVARD
Cornell
87
CORNELL
Simulated Score
Harvard
72
HARVARD
Cornell
75
CORNELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Big Red
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Big Red
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Big Red (-5.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Big Red (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o154.5
Loss
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
HARV @ COR
73 - 54
Jan 24, 2026
COR @ HARV
86 - 79
Feb 14, 2025
COR @ HARV
73 - 75
Feb 1, 2025
HARV @ COR
60 - 75
Feb 16, 2024
HARV @ COR
62 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+43.4% more
Cornell: 18.6
vs
Harvard: 13.0
Turnovers (L5)
+13.7% more
Cornell: 11.7
vs
Harvard: 10.3
Rebounding (L5)
+11.2% more
Cornell: 35.3
vs
Harvard: 31.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.4%
Cornell: 51.3%
vs
Harvard: 46.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HARV Score
74.0
73
COR Score
87.0
54
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.1 / 32.6
14.0 / 32.0
Assists
18.6 / 13.0
10.0 / 23.0
Blocks
2.4 / 4.6
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
51.3 / 46.9
36.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
68.2 / 80.4
85.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
35.3 / 31.7
33.0 / 38.0
Steals
7.4 / 8.0
5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 10.3
8.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HARV
Advantage
17-12-0
(58.6%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
COR
15-13-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HARV
Advantage
12-13-1
(48.0%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
COR
11-15-0
(42.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
HARV
9-17-0
O: 34.6% / U: 65.4%
Total +/-: -4.3
COR
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: +6.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COR
HARV
COR
HARV
ML
44%
12-15
45%
13-16
63%
17-10
52%
15-14
ATS
59%
16-11
45%
13-16
63%
17-10
52%
15-14
TTL
78%
21-6
41%
12-17
100%
27-0
100%
29-0
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