MONMOUTH
HAWKSMONM
14-13 | Road
63
CHARLESTON
COUGARSCOFC
18-10 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
100%
COUGARS
0%
HAWKS
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
CHARLESTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Charleston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COFC -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COFC)
MONM By 1-7 points
20.1%
MONM By 8-14 points
9.3%
COFC By 1-7 points
27.4%
COFC By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Monmouth
68
MONMOUTH
Charleston
72
CHARLESTON
Simulated Score
Monmouth
72
MONMOUTH
Charleston
78
CHARLESTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cougars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cougars (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
MONM @ COFC
63 - 74
Mar 9, 2025
MONM @ COFC
78 - 79
Jan 11, 2025
COFC @ MONM
73 - 84
Mar 10, 2024
MONM @ COFC
59 - 83
Jan 13, 2024
MONM @ COFC
83 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+121.2% more
Charleston: 5.5
vs
Monmouth: 2.5
Assists (L5)
+20.3% more
Charleston: 14.6
vs
Monmouth: 12.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.0%
Charleston: 43.2%
vs
Monmouth: 41.2%
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.7%
Charleston: 77.9%
vs
Monmouth: 76.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MONM Score
68.0
63
COFC Score
72.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.4 / 34.4
29.0 / 35.0
Assists
14.6 / 12.2
21.0 / 15.0
Blocks
5.5 / 2.5
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
43.2 / 41.2
46.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
77.9 / 76.1
68.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
36.5 / 36.7
35.0 / 35.0
Steals
5.2 / 7.4
10.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.7 / 12.0
8.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MONM
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
COFC
Advantage
21-11-0
(65.6%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MONM
17-15-1
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
COFC
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
MONM
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5%
Total +/-: +0.1
COFC
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COFC
MONM
COFC
MONM
ML
66%
19-10
62%
21-13
62%
18-11
64%
21-12
ATS
59%
17-12
62%
21-13
62%
18-11
64%
21-12
TTL
68%
19-9-1
59%
20-14
100%
29-0
100%
33-0
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