RUTGERS
SCARLET KNIGHTSRUTG
11-15 | Road
61
MINNESOTA
GOLDEN GOPHERSMINN
12-14 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
SCARLET KNIGHTS
0%
GOLDEN GOPHERS
100%
SCARLET KNIGHTS
--
GOLDEN GOPHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+5.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MINN +5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MINN)
RUTG By 1-7 points
27.2%
RUTG By 8-14 points
23.0%
MINN By 1-7 points
18.6%
MINN By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Rutgers
69
RUTGERS
Minnesota
64
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Rutgers
71
RUTGERS
Minnesota
75
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Scarlet Knights
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Gophers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Gophers (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +5.0
D
Sim
Golden Gophers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u133.5
Loss
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim
u133.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 11, 2026
RUTG @ MINN
72 - 67
Feb 21, 2026
RUTG @ MINN
61 - 80
Mar 9, 2025
MINN @ RUTG
67 - 75
Feb 18, 2024
RUTG @ MINN
70 - 81
Mar 2, 2023
RUTG @ MINN
74 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+29.7% more
Rutgers: 2.7
vs
Minnesota: 1.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.0%
Rutgers: 76.0%
vs
Minnesota: 70.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.4%
Rutgers: 47.7%
vs
Minnesota: 43.2%
Steals (L5)
+14.1% more
Minnesota: 6.7
vs
Rutgers: 5.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RUTG Score
69.0
61
MINN Score
64.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.1 / 30.9
58.0 / 39.0
Assists
14.4 / 13.6
23.0 / 23.0
Blocks
1.9 / 2.7
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
43.2 / 47.7
60.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
70.9 / 76.0
71.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
29.6 / 31.1
31.0 / 22.0
Steals
6.7 / 5.9
2.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 10.9
10.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RUTG
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
MINN
Advantage
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RUTG
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
MINN
14-18-1
(43.8%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
RUTG
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2%
Total +/-: +2.6
MINN
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MINN
RUTG
MINN
RUTG
ML
48%
16-17
53%
18-16
71%
22-9
70%
23-10
ATS
55%
18-15
68%
23-11
71%
22-9
70%
23-10
TTL
52%
17-16
53%
18-16
100%
31-0
100%
33-0
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