AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
GOLDEN LIONS
0%
PANTHERS
--
GOLDEN LIONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Arkansas-Pine Bluff)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UAPB -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UAPB)
PV By 1-7 points
4.8%
PV By 8-14 points
1.1%
UAPB By 1-7 points
15.3%
UAPB By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Prairie View A&M
69
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
84
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
Simulated Score
Prairie View A&M
72
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
68
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Lions
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Golden Lions (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Panthers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u158.5
Loss
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim
u158.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
PV @ UAPB
82 - 84
Jan 12, 2026
UAPB @ PV
61 - 73
Feb 22, 2025
UAPB @ PV
75 - 64
Jan 13, 2025
PV @ UAPB
75 - 64
Feb 24, 2024
PV @ UAPB
59 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+48.3% more
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 13.8
vs
Prairie View A&M: 9.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.5%
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 35.5%
vs
Prairie View A&M: 25.1%
Blocks (L5)
+40.2% more
Prairie View A&M: 5.3
vs
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 3.2
Steals (L5)
+14.4% more
Prairie View A&M: 6.6
vs
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 5.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PV Score
69.0
82
UAPB Score
84.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.5 / 25.1
33.0 / 28.0
Assists
13.8 / 9.3
17.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.2 / 5.3
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
41.1 / 43.7
58.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
71.0 / 73.3
75.0 / 89.0
Rebounding
32.9 / 34.0
23.0 / 29.0
Steals
5.6 / 6.6
11.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 12.1
10.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PV
Advantage
19-18-0
(51.3%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: +2.7
UAPB
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -3.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PV
Advantage
22-10-0
(68.8%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: +2.7
UAPB
13-16-1
(44.8%)
Margin: -3.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
PV
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5%
Total +/-: -2.1
UAPB
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UAPB
PV
UAPB
PV
ML
74%
23-8
59%
20-14
73%
19-7
68%
21-10
ATS
73%
22-8-1
56%
19-15
73%
19-7
68%
21-10
TTL
68%
21-10
50%
17-17
100%
26-0
100%
31-0