Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bulldogs @ Owls LT @ KENN

LOUISIANA TECH

BULLDOGSLT

15-11  |  Road

55
FINAL
Sat, Feb 21 • 5:00 PM ET
KSU Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

KENNESAW STATE

OWLSKENN

15-11  |  Home

58
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
📊
OWLS
0%
BULLDOGS --
OWLS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
KENNESAW STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Kennesaw State)
BulldogsLT (-3.5) 0 OwlsKENN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

42.1%

Owls Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around KENN -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KENN)

LT By 1-7 points

23.0%

LT By 8-14 points

12.2%

KENN By 1-7 points

26.8%

KENN By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
63
LOUISIANA TECH
65
KENNESAW STATE
Simulated Score
71
LOUISIANA TECH
75
KENNESAW STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Owls Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Owls Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Owls (+6) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Owls (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 14, 2026 KENN @ LT 71 - 60
Feb 21, 2026 LT @ KENN 55 - 58
Jan 23, 2026 KENN @ LT 76 - 82
Feb 13, 2025 KENN @ LT 69 - 47
Jan 18, 2025 LT @ KENN 76 - 78
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +11.4%
Kennesaw State: 42.3% vs Louisiana Tech: 30.9%
Free Throw % (L5) +5.4%
Kennesaw State: 67.5% vs Louisiana Tech: 62.1%
Turnovers (L5) +38.8% more
Louisiana Tech: 15.1 vs Kennesaw State: 9.3
Blocks (L5) +21.3% more
Louisiana Tech: 6.0 vs Kennesaw State: 4.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LT Score 63.0 55
KENN Score 65.0 58
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 42.3 / 30.9 23.0 / 20.0
Assists 14.5 / 15.4 12.0 / 10.0
Blocks 4.7 / 6.0 8.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 45.6 / 47.6 35.0 / 32.0
Free Throw % 67.5 / 62.1 61.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 33.1 / 35.6 32.0 / 44.0
Steals 6.9 / 8.4 8.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 9.3 / 15.1 13.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
22%MONEY78%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
71%MONEY29%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
48%MONEY52%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LT
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
KENN Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LT Advantage
17-13-1 (56.7%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
KENN
15-16-1 (48.4%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
LT
15-15-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -2.3
KENN
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KENN
LT
KENN
LT
ML
74% 25-9
58% 19-14
72% 23-9
72% 23-9
ATS
71% 24-10
61% 20-13
73% 24-9
72% 23-9
TTL
56% 19-15
61% 20-13
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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