WESTERN MICHIGAN
BRONCOSWMU
9-17 | Road
70
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
CHIPPEWASCMU
8-18 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
BRONCOS
0%
CHIPPEWAS
100%
BRONCOS
--
CHIPPEWAS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Western Michigan)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WMU -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WMU)
WMU By 1-7 points
26.8%
WMU By 8-14 points
24.3%
CMU By 1-7 points
16.9%
CMU By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Western Michigan
74
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Central Michigan
68
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
Western Michigan
68
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Central Michigan
75
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Broncos
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Chippewas
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Broncos (+2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Chippewas (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u151.5
Loss
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
WMU @ CMU
70 - 83
Jan 24, 2026
CMU @ WMU
65 - 77
Feb 22, 2025
CMU @ WMU
86 - 57
Jan 25, 2025
WMU @ CMU
52 - 73
Feb 17, 2024
WMU @ CMU
42 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+15.4%
Western Michigan: 77.0%
vs
Central Michigan: 61.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.3%
Western Michigan: 42.3%
vs
Central Michigan: 38.0%
Steals (L5)
+200.6% more
Central Michigan: 9.3
vs
Western Michigan: 3.1
Blocks (L5)
+55.8% more
Central Michigan: 3.4
vs
Western Michigan: 2.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WMU Score
74.0
70
CMU Score
68.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.0 / 42.3
25.0 / 21.0
Assists
13.6 / 11.9
12.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.4 / 2.2
12.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
49.6 / 42.1
49.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
61.5 / 77.0
76.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
32.6 / 33.8
33.0 / 32.0
Steals
9.3 / 3.1
11.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.6 / 8.9
11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WMU
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -4.7
ATS +/-: +1.1
CMU
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -3.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WMU
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -4.7
ATS +/-: +1.1
CMU
15-13-1
(53.6%)
Margin: -3.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
WMU
18-11-0
O: 62.1% / U: 37.9%
Total +/-: +1.3
CMU
13-16-0
O: 44.8% / U: 55.2%
Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CMU
WMU
CMU
WMU
ML
57%
17-13
60%
18-12
70%
21-9
70%
21-9
ATS
67%
20-10
67%
20-10
70%
21-9
70%
21-9
TTL
67%
20-10
57%
17-13
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
Contextual Game News
Miami Hurricanes Hit Hard: Top Two Running Backs Out, Jordan Lyl…
Big Ten Silence Fuels Outrage Over Controversial Replay Call in …
Bryce Underwood's NFL Draft Stock Drops After Disappointing Seas…
Controversial Extra Second Gives Michigan a Miraculous Win: Insi…
Michigan Fans Face Backlash for Storming Field After Controversi…