JACKSONVILLE STATE
GAMECOCKSJXST
13-13 | Road
78
SAM HOUSTON
BEARKATSSHSU
18-8 | Home
82
AI Model Win Probability
GAMECOCKS
100%
BEARKATS
0%
GAMECOCKS
--
BEARKATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
SAM HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Sam Houston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SHSU -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SHSU)
JXST By 1-7 points
20.1%
JXST By 8-14 points
9.3%
SHSU By 1-7 points
27.4%
SHSU By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Jacksonville State
71
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Sam Houston
75
SAM HOUSTON
Simulated Score
Jacksonville State
68
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Sam Houston
72
SAM HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bearkats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bearkats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bearkats (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Bearkats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u148.5
Loss
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
JXST @ SHSU
78 - 82
Jan 14, 2026
SHSU @ JXST
77 - 62
Feb 13, 2025
JXST @ SHSU
61 - 66
Jan 18, 2025
SHSU @ JXST
62 - 70
Mar 9, 2024
JXST @ SHSU
73 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+57.2% more
Sam Houston: 4.3
vs
Jacksonville State: 2.7
Assists (L5)
+40.5% more
Sam Houston: 16.0
vs
Jacksonville State: 11.4
Rebounding (L5)
+14.5% more
Sam Houston: 37.7
vs
Jacksonville State: 32.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.9%
Sam Houston: 78.4%
vs
Jacksonville State: 66.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
JXST Score
71.0
78
SHSU Score
75.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.4 / 38.0
35.0 / 38.0
Assists
16.0 / 11.4
14.0 / 11.0
Blocks
4.3 / 2.7
2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
46.4 / 41.7
49.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
78.4 / 66.5
82.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
37.7 / 32.9
34.0 / 27.0
Steals
6.2 / 6.8
3.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 10.5
11.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JXST
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: -0.1
SHSU
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JXST
13-15-1
(46.4%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: -0.1
SHSU
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
JXST
17-11-1
O: 60.7% / U: 39.3%
Total +/-: +0.4
SHSU
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SHSU
JXST
SHSU
JXST
ML
55%
18-15
50%
16-16
74%
23-8
55%
17-14
ATS
64%
21-12
62%
20-12
74%
23-8
55%
17-14
TTL
48%
16-17
62%
20-12
100%
31-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
