GREEN BAY
PHOENIXGB
15-13 | Road
73
OAKLAND
GOLDEN GRIZZLIESOAK
14-13 | Home
68
AI Model Win Probability
PHOENIX
0%
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES
100%
PHOENIX
--
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
GREEN BAY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Green Bay)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GB -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GB)
GB By 1-7 points
12.2%
GB By 8-14 points
23.0%
OAK By 1-7 points
3.3%
OAK By 8-14 points
0.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Green Bay
84
GREEN BAY
Oakland
67
OAKLAND
Simulated Score
Green Bay
68
GREEN BAY
Oakland
72
OAKLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Phoenix
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Grizzlies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Phoenix (-6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Golden Grizzlies (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 20, 2026
GB @ OAK
73 - 68
Jan 18, 2026
OAK @ GB
88 - 63
Mar 4, 2025
GB @ OAK
72 - 96
Mar 1, 2025
OAK @ GB
87 - 84
Jan 30, 2025
GB @ OAK
54 - 68
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.6%
Green Bay: 39.4%
vs
Oakland: 32.8%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.2%
Green Bay: 50.7%
vs
Oakland: 45.5%
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.6%
Green Bay: 80.7%
vs
Oakland: 76.1%
Blocks (L5)
+101.4% more
Oakland: 4.2
vs
Green Bay: 2.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GB Score
84.0
73
OAK Score
67.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.8 / 39.4
20.0 / 45.0
Assists
14.2 / 14.0
10.0 / 16.0
Blocks
4.2 / 2.1
6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
45.5 / 50.7
37.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
76.1 / 80.7
100.0 / 87.0
Rebounding
33.3 / 30.1
40.0 / 29.0
Steals
7.9 / 5.0
6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 10.5
11.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GB
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
OAK
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GB
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
OAK
17-14-0
(54.8%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
GB
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +2.1
OAK
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7%
Total +/-: +4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OAK
GB
OAK
GB
ML
62%
20-12
48%
16-17
59%
19-13
67%
22-11
ATS
50%
16-16
52%
17-16
59%
19-13
67%
22-11
TTL
62%
20-12
58%
19-14
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
