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MILWAUKEE

PANTHERSMILW

11-17  |  Road

86
FINAL
Fri, Feb 20 • 7:00 PM ET
Calihan Hall
View Odds Details →

DETROIT MERCY

TITANSDETM

12-13  |  Home

91
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
📊
TITANS
0%
PANTHERS --
TITANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DETROIT MERCY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Detroit Mercy)
PanthersMILW (-3.5) 0 TitansDETM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

46.0%

Titans Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DETM -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DETM)

MILW By 1-7 points

24.3%

MILW By 8-14 points

13.7%

DETM By 1-7 points

26.2%

DETM By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
74
MILWAUKEE
75
DETROIT MERCY
Simulated Score
68
MILWAUKEE
75
DETROIT MERCY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Titans Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Titans Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Titans (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Titans (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u153.5 Loss
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 4, 2026 MILW @ DETM 63 - 84
Feb 20, 2026 MILW @ DETM 86 - 91
Feb 4, 2026 DETM @ MILW 76 - 63
Mar 1, 2025 DETM @ MILW 67 - 89
Jan 4, 2025 MILW @ DETM 64 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +47.9% more
Detroit Mercy: 4.1 vs Milwaukee: 2.8
Rebounding (L5) +11.0% more
Detroit Mercy: 36.7 vs Milwaukee: 33.0
Free Throw % (L5) +6.6%
Detroit Mercy: 80.5% vs Milwaukee: 73.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.3%
Detroit Mercy: 40.5% vs Milwaukee: 35.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MILW Score 74.0 86
DETM Score 75.0 91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.5 / 35.2 48.0 / 42.0
Assists 12.9 / 12.7 13.0 / 17.0
Blocks 4.1 / 2.8 5.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 46.5 / 44.5 54.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 80.5 / 73.9 81.0 / 47.0
Rebounding 36.7 / 33.0 32.0 / 33.0
Steals 6.0 / 7.1 5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.1 / 9.6 10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
19%MONEY81%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
22%MONEY78%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
72%MONEY28%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MILW
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -3.0
DETM Advantage
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: -0.1 ATS +/-: +3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MILW
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -3.0
DETM Advantage
20-9-1 (69.0%)
Margin: -0.1 ATS +/-: +3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
MILW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -1.0
DETM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DETM
MILW
DETM
MILW
ML
58% 18-13
50% 16-16
50% 15-15
69% 22-10
ATS
61% 19-12
47% 15-17
50% 15-15
69% 22-10
TTL
61% 19-12
59% 19-13
100% 30-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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