PRINCETON
TIGERSPRIN
8-17 | Road
71
BROWN
BEARSBRWN
8-15 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
BEARS
0%
TIGERS
--
BEARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
BROWN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Brown)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BRWN -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRWN)
PRIN By 1-7 points
15.3%
PRIN By 8-14 points
5.8%
BRWN By 1-7 points
26.2%
BRWN By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Princeton
67
PRINCETON
Brown
74
BROWN
Simulated Score
Princeton
75
PRINCETON
Brown
68
BROWN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bears
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bears (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Tigers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o130.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u130.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 20, 2026
PRIN @ BRWN
71 - 80
Jan 24, 2026
BRWN @ PRIN
53 - 63
Feb 14, 2025
PRIN @ BRWN
56 - 70
Feb 1, 2025
BRWN @ PRIN
49 - 69
Mar 16, 2024
BRWN @ PRIN
90 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+162.7% more
Brown: 8.6
vs
Princeton: 3.3
Turnovers (L5)
+49.3% more
Brown: 13.1
vs
Princeton: 8.8
Assists (L5)
+45.9% more
Brown: 14.8
vs
Princeton: 10.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.1%
Princeton: 76.9%
vs
Brown: 62.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PRIN Score
67.0
71
BRWN Score
74.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.0 / 31.3
39.0 / 35.0
Assists
14.8 / 10.1
20.0 / 16.0
Blocks
2.2 / 2.1
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.9 / 44.7
61.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
62.8 / 76.9
65.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
32.6 / 30.4
26.0 / 33.0
Steals
8.6 / 3.3
10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 8.8
12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRIN
9-20-0
(31.0%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
BRWN
Advantage
9-18-0
(33.3%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRIN
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
BRWN
14-12-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
PRIN
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6%
Total +/-: -2.4
BRWN
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRWN
PRIN
BRWN
PRIN
ML
56%
15-12
45%
13-16
67%
18-9
62%
18-11
ATS
59%
16-11
48%
14-15
67%
18-9
62%
18-11
TTL
59%
16-11
72%
21-8
100%
27-0
100%
29-0
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