Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Dolphins @ Blue Devils LEM @ CCSU

LE MOYNE

DOLPHINSLEM

14-13  |  Road

77
FINAL
Thu, Feb 19 • 7:00 PM ET
Detrick Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

CENTRAL CONNECTICUT

BLUE DEVILSCCSU

15-10  |  Home

78
AI Model Win Probability
DOLPHINS
100%
📊
BLUE DEVILS
0%
DOLPHINS --
BLUE DEVILS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Central Connecticut)
DolphinsLEM (-3.5) 0 Blue DevilsCCSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dolphins Cover

30.9%

Blue Devils Cover

69.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CCSU -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CCSU)

LEM By 1-7 points

18.6%

LEM By 8-14 points

8.0%

CCSU By 1-7 points

27.2%

CCSU By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
70
LE MOYNE
75
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Simulated Score
68
LE MOYNE
72
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blue Devils Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Devils Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blue Devils (-3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Blue Devils (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u146.5 Loss
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 19, 2026 LEM @ CCSU 77 - 78
Jan 10, 2026 CCSU @ LEM 69 - 59
Mar 5, 2025 LEM @ CCSU 67 - 86
Feb 27, 2025 LEM @ CCSU 75 - 84
Jan 24, 2025 CCSU @ LEM 93 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +38.7% more
Central Connecticut: 2.7 vs Le Moyne: 1.9
Free Throw % (L5) +16.5%
Central Connecticut: 83.4% vs Le Moyne: 67.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.7%
Central Connecticut: 39.7% vs Le Moyne: 33.1%
Assists (L5) +40.6% more
Le Moyne: 16.7 vs Central Connecticut: 9.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LEM Score 70.0 77
CCSU Score 75.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.7 / 33.1 34.0 / 53.0
Assists 9.9 / 16.7 21.0 / 16.0
Blocks 2.7 / 1.9 5.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 48.1 / 50.4 49.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 83.4 / 67.0 100.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 32.5 / 36.5 31.0 / 35.0
Steals 5.2 / 5.4 8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 14.7 9.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
33%MONEY67%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
60%MONEY40%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
13%MONEY87%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LEM
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-: +0.9
CCSU Advantage
18-12-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LEM
16-15-0 (51.6%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-: +0.9
CCSU Advantage
14-13-1 (51.8%)
Margin: 2.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
LEM
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: +1.1
CCSU
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4% Total +/-: +3.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CCSU
LEM
CCSU
LEM
ML
57% 17-13
68% 21-10
57% 17-13
68% 21-10
ATS
63% 19-11
65% 20-11
57% 17-13
69% 22-10
TTL
60% 18-12
42% 13-18
100% 30-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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