Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Runnin' Bulldogs @ Highlanders GWEB @ RAD

GARDNER-WEBB

RUNNIN' BULLDOGSGWEB

3-25  |  Road

70
FINAL
Thu, Feb 19 • 7:00 PM ET
The Dedmon Center
View Odds Details →

RADFORD

HIGHLANDERSRAD

14-13  |  Home

82
AI Model Win Probability
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS
100%
📊
HIGHLANDERS
0%
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS --
HIGHLANDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
RADFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Radford)
Runnin' BulldogsGWEB (-3.5) 0 HighlandersRAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Runnin' Bulldogs Cover

30.9%

Highlanders Cover

69.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RAD -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RAD)

GWEB By 1-7 points

18.6%

GWEB By 8-14 points

8.0%

RAD By 1-7 points

27.2%

RAD By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
70
GARDNER-WEBB
75
RADFORD
Simulated Score
68
GARDNER-WEBB
72
RADFORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Highlanders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Highlanders Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Highlanders (+19.5) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Highlanders (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u162.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u162.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 19, 2026 GWEB @ RAD 70 - 82
Jan 14, 2026 RAD @ GWEB 89 - 80
Feb 26, 2025 RAD @ GWEB 63 - 56
Jan 15, 2025 GWEB @ RAD 75 - 79
Feb 22, 2024 RAD @ GWEB 90 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +64.3% more
Radford: 9.0 vs Gardner-Webb: 5.5
Rebounding (L5) +32.0% more
Radford: 38.8 vs Gardner-Webb: 29.4
Turnovers (L5) +16.4% more
Radford: 14.1 vs Gardner-Webb: 12.1
Free Throw % (L5) +6.4%
Radford: 69.4% vs Gardner-Webb: 63.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GWEB Score 70.0 70
RAD Score 75.0 82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.2 / 33.9 33.0 / 27.0
Assists 13.6 / 12.6 15.0 / 6.0
Blocks 3.0 / 3.0 0.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 46.7 / 46.3 45.0 / 53.0
Free Throw % 69.4 / 63.0 92.0 / 57.0
Rebounding 38.8 / 29.4 32.0 / 28.0
Steals 9.0 / 5.5 7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 14.1 / 12.1 13.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
6%MONEY94%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
58%MONEY42%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
59%MONEY41%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GWEB
4-29-0 (12.1%)
Margin: -17.3 ATS +/-: -3.0
RAD Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: -2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GWEB Advantage
15-14-1 (51.7%)
Margin: -17.3 ATS +/-: -3.0
RAD
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: -2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
GWEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: -1.0
RAD
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RAD
GWEB
RAD
GWEB
ML
77% 23-7
73% 22-8
76% 22-7
63% 19-11
ATS
63% 19-11
73% 22-8
77% 23-7
63% 19-11
TTL
67% 20-10
53% 16-14
100% 30-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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