LONGWOOD
LANCERSLONG
14-14 | Road
65
PRESBYTERIAN
BLUE HOSEPRES
13-14 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
LANCERS
100%
BLUE HOSE
0%
LANCERS
--
BLUE HOSE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-41.0
PRESBYTERIAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +41.0 points (Presbyterian)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PRES -41.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PRES)
LONG By 1-7 points
0.0%
LONG By 8-14 points
0.0%
PRES By 1-7 points
0.0%
PRES By 8-14 points
0.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Longwood
53
LONGWOOD
Presbyterian
94
PRESBYTERIAN
Simulated Score
Longwood
68
LONGWOOD
Presbyterian
72
PRESBYTERIAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Hose
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Hose
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Hose (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -41.0
D
Sim
Blue Hose (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o139.5
Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
LONG @ PRES
65 - 72
Jan 10, 2026
PRES @ LONG
70 - 77
Feb 15, 2025
PRES @ LONG
77 - 68
Jan 2, 2025
LONG @ PRES
60 - 68
Feb 17, 2024
LONG @ PRES
81 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+130.5% more
Presbyterian: 5.5
vs
Longwood: 2.4
Turnovers (L5)
+8.7% more
Presbyterian: 14.1
vs
Longwood: 12.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.3%
Presbyterian: 46.3%
vs
Longwood: 44.0%
Steals (L5)
+38.9% more
Longwood: 7.7
vs
Presbyterian: 4.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LONG Score
53.0
65
PRES Score
94.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.7 / 42.4
36.0 / 33.0
Assists
12.5 / 12.6
13.0 / 8.0
Blocks
5.5 / 2.4
4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
46.3 / 44.0
57.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
65.5 / 64.6
62.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
34.9 / 36.0
27.0 / 27.0
Steals
4.7 / 7.7
14.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
14.1 / 12.9
14.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LONG
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: +0.1
PRES
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LONG
13-16-0
(44.8%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: +0.1
PRES
Advantage
17-13-0
(56.7%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
LONG
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4%
Total +/-: +2.7
PRES
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PRES
LONG
PRES
LONG
ML
69%
22-10
65%
20-11
80%
24-6
68%
21-10
ATS
59%
19-13
68%
21-10
80%
24-6
68%
21-10
TTL
59%
19-13
65%
20-11
100%
30-0
100%
31-0
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