Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lancers @ Wolverines CBU @ UVU

CALIFORNIA BAPTIST

LANCERSCBU

19-7  |  Road

46
FINAL
Thu, Feb 19 • 8:00 PM ET
UCCU Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH VALLEY

WOLVERINESUVU

18-7  |  Home

65
AI Model Win Probability
LANCERS
0%
📊
WOLVERINES
100%
LANCERS --
WOLVERINES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-38.0
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +38.0 points (California Baptist)
LancersCBU (-3.5) 0 WolverinesUVU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lancers Cover

100.0%

Wolverines Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CBU -38.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBU)

CBU By 1-7 points

0.1%

CBU By 8-14 points

0.8%

UVU By 1-7 points

0.0%

UVU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
93
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
55
UTAH VALLEY
Simulated Score
68
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
70
UTAH VALLEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Lancers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wolverines Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Lancers (-8.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -38.0
D
Sim Wolverines (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o142.5 Loss
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 14, 2026 CBU @ UVU 63 - 61
Feb 19, 2026 CBU @ UVU 46 - 65
Jan 24, 2026 UVU @ CBU 71 - 78
Dec 29, 2025 CBU @ UVU 66 - 73
Jan 23, 2025 UVU @ CBU 74 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +28.9% more
California Baptist: 44.2 vs Utah Valley: 31.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.5%
California Baptist: 37.4% vs Utah Valley: 32.9%
Steals (L5) +206.3% more
Utah Valley: 10.8 vs California Baptist: 3.5
Assists (L5) +94.4% more
Utah Valley: 18.0 vs California Baptist: 9.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CBU Score 93.0 46
UVU Score 55.0 65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.9 / 37.4 29.0 / 29.0
Assists 18.0 / 9.3 16.0 / 10.0
Blocks 5.0 / 4.6 10.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 51.1 / 37.7 43.0 / 29.0
Free Throw % 71.8 / 68.5 69.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 31.4 / 44.2 40.0 / 36.0
Steals 10.8 / 3.5 15.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 14.7 / 9.1 12.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
37%MONEY63%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
60%MONEY40%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
47%MONEY53%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CBU
25-9-0 (73.5%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: +1.5
UVU
25-9-0 (73.5%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CBU Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: +1.5
UVU
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CBU
12-22-0
O: 35.3% / U: 64.7% Total +/-: -4.1
UVU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UVU
CBU
UVU
CBU
ML
56% 18-14
50% 17-17
72% 23-9
76% 25-8
ATS
53% 17-15
53% 18-16
74% 25-9
76% 25-8
TTL
44% 14-18
47% 16-18
100% 34-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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