Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Coyotes @ Pioneers SDAK @ DEN

SOUTH DAKOTA

COYOTESSDAK

14-13  |  Road

70
FINAL
Thu, Feb 19 • 9:00 PM ET
Hamilton Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

DENVER

PIONEERSDEN

13-15  |  Home

90
AI Model Win Probability
COYOTES
100%
📊
PIONEERS
0%
COYOTES --
PIONEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-44.0
DENVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +44.0 points (Denver)
CoyotesSDAK (-3.5) 0 PioneersDEN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Coyotes Cover

0.0%

Pioneers Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DEN -44.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEN)

SDAK By 1-7 points

0.0%

SDAK By 8-14 points

0.0%

DEN By 1-7 points

0.0%

DEN By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
57
SOUTH DAKOTA
101
DENVER
Simulated Score
70
SOUTH DAKOTA
75
DENVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Pioneers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pioneers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Pioneers (-6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Sim Pioneers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u163.5 Win
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim u163.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 19, 2026 SDAK @ DEN 70 - 90
Jan 10, 2026 DEN @ SDAK 72 - 82
Feb 6, 2025 SDAK @ DEN 86 - 79
Jan 4, 2025 DEN @ SDAK 84 - 91
Feb 8, 2024 DEN @ SDAK 86 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +15.3% more
Denver: 38.9 vs South Dakota: 33.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.9%
Denver: 37.4% vs South Dakota: 26.4%
Free Throw % (L5) +5.9%
Denver: 80.4% vs South Dakota: 74.5%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.8%
Denver: 48.5% vs South Dakota: 43.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SDAK Score 57.0 70
DEN Score 101.0 90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.4 / 26.4 53.0 / 29.0
Assists 11.7 / 15.2 13.0 / 11.0
Blocks 1.6 / 2.7 0.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 48.5 / 43.8 47.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 80.4 / 74.5 92.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 38.9 / 33.7 33.0 / 27.0
Steals 3.8 / 6.0 9.0 / 0.0
Turnovers 9.0 / 10.9 4.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
42%MONEY58%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
22%MONEY78%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
83%MONEY17%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SDAK Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: +0.7
DEN
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SDAK
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: +0.7
DEN Advantage
17-11-1 (60.7%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
SDAK
12-17-0
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6% Total +/-: -1.1
DEN
20-8-1
O: 71.4% / U: 28.6% Total +/-: +7.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEN
SDAK
DEN
SDAK
ML
56% 18-14
70% 21-9
59% 19-13
63% 19-11
ATS
66% 21-11
70% 21-9
59% 19-13
63% 19-11
TTL
59% 19-13
67% 20-10
100% 32-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Big Ten Commissioner Tony Petitti Denies Any Expansion Talks Ami…
saturdaydownsouth 6 hours, 1 minute ago
Aiden Tobiason Brings Sharpshooting and Playmaking to Syracuse B…
si 6 hours, 4 minutes ago
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
si 1 day ago
Cayden Boozer's Return to Duke: Trusting the Vision in a Loaded …
si 1 day, 12 hours ago
Aden Holloway Reinstated to Alabama Basketball Roster, Suspended…
saturdaydownsouth 2 days, 6 hours ago