Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Roos @ Fighting Hawks KC @ UND

KANSAS CITY

ROOSKC

4-22  |  Road

70
FINAL
Thu, Feb 19 • 8:00 PM ET
Betty Engelstad Sioux Center
View Odds Details →

NORTH DAKOTA

FIGHTING HAWKSUND

15-14  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
ROOS
0%
📊
FIGHTING HAWKS
100%
ROOS --
FIGHTING HAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
KANSAS CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Kansas City)
RoosKC (-3.5) 0 Fighting HawksUND (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Roos Cover

100.0%

Fighting Hawks Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around KC -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KC)

KC By 1-7 points

0.5%

KC By 8-14 points

2.7%

UND By 1-7 points

0.0%

UND By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
95
KANSAS CITY
62
NORTH DAKOTA
Simulated Score
70
KANSAS CITY
72
NORTH DAKOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Roos Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Fighting Hawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Roos (-10.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim Fighting Hawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o150.5 Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 19, 2026 KC @ UND 70 - 85
Jan 10, 2026 UND @ KC 81 - 79
Feb 8, 2025 UND @ KC 69 - 80
Jan 18, 2025 KC @ UND 72 - 76
Feb 10, 2024 KC @ UND 65 - 47
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +42.5% more
Kansas City: 4.1 vs North Dakota: 2.3
Turnovers (L5) +34.9% more
Kansas City: 12.5 vs North Dakota: 8.1
Assists (L5) +24.8% more
Kansas City: 11.5 vs North Dakota: 8.7
Free Throw % (L5) +4.9%
Kansas City: 76.8% vs North Dakota: 71.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KC Score 95.0 70
UND Score 62.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.7 / 25.1 39.0 / 30.0
Assists 8.7 / 11.5 15.0 / 14.0
Blocks 2.3 / 4.1 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 43.8 / 41.2 40.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 71.9 / 76.8 81.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 30.1 / 32.4 45.0 / 37.0
Steals 6.8 / 5.2 8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 8.1 / 12.5 16.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KC
4-27-0 (12.9%)
Margin: -14.5 ATS +/-: -6.4
UND Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: +1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KC
5-23-0 (17.9%)
Margin: -14.5 ATS +/-: -6.4
UND Advantage
21-11-0 (65.6%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: +1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
KC
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +0.1
UND
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UND
KC
UND
KC
ML
44% 15-19
63% 19-11
50% 17-17
67% 20-10
ATS
50% 17-17
67% 20-10
50% 17-17
67% 20-10
TTL
65% 22-12
70% 21-9
100% 34-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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