Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Panthers @ Flames FIU @ LIB

FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL

PANTHERSFIU

12-13  |  Road

89
FINAL
Thu, Feb 19 • 6:00 PM ET
Liberty Arena (VA)
View Odds Details →

LIBERTY

FLAMESLIB

22-3  |  Home

90
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
📊
FLAMES
100%
PANTHERS --
FLAMES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Florida International)
PanthersFIU (-3.5) 0 FlamesLIB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

91.9%

Flames Cover

8.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around FIU -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FIU)

FIU By 1-7 points

16.9%

FIU By 8-14 points

26.2%

LIB By 1-7 points

5.8%

LIB By 8-14 points

1.4%

AI Model Projected Score
79
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
65
LIBERTY
Simulated Score
63
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
76
LIBERTY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Flames Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Panthers (-9.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim Flames (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u153.5 Loss
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 19, 2026 FIU @ LIB 89 - 90
Dec 28, 2025 LIB @ FIU 97 - 94
Feb 22, 2025 FIU @ LIB 45 - 58
Jan 25, 2025 LIB @ FIU 82 - 59
Feb 22, 2024 LIB @ FIU 71 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +41.4% more
Florida International: 13.3 vs Liberty: 7.8
Steals (L5) +32.4% more
Florida International: 9.0 vs Liberty: 6.1
Rebounding (L5) +25.7% more
Florida International: 38.0 vs Liberty: 28.2
Blocks (L5) +23.8% more
Florida International: 3.7 vs Liberty: 2.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FIU Score 79.0 89
LIB Score 65.0 90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.5 / 36.8 50.0 / 42.0
Assists 17.3 / 11.7 19.0 / 10.0
Blocks 2.8 / 3.7 2.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 50.3 / 43.8 51.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 70.8 / 69.9 73.0 / 89.0
Rebounding 28.2 / 38.0 29.0 / 42.0
Steals 6.1 / 9.0 9.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 7.8 / 13.3 15.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
4%MONEY96%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
29%MONEY71%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
64%MONEY36%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FIU
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +1.2
LIB Advantage
26-8-0 (76.5%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FIU Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +1.2
LIB
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
FIU
15-13-1
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4% Total +/-: +1.8
LIB
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +4.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIB
FIU
LIB
FIU
ML
50% 17-17
58% 18-13
53% 18-16
65% 20-11
ATS
62% 21-13
52% 16-15
53% 18-16
65% 20-11
TTL
41% 14-20
65% 20-11
100% 34-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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