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LIPSCOMB

BISONSLIP

16-11  |  Road

75
FINAL
Wed, Feb 18 • 7:30 PM ET
Knights Hall
View Odds Details →

BELLARMINE

KNIGHTSBELL

11-15  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
BISONS
0%
📊
KNIGHTS
100%
BISONS --
KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
172.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
LIPSCOMB
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Lipscomb)
BisonsLIP (-3.5) 0 KnightsBELL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bisons Cover

98.6%

Knights Cover

1.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LIP -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIP)

LIP By 1-7 points

5.8%

LIP By 8-14 points

15.3%

BELL By 1-7 points

1.1%

BELL By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
97
LIPSCOMB
75
BELLARMINE
Simulated Score
77
LIPSCOMB
68
BELLARMINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bisons Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bisons Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bisons (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim Bisons (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o155.5 Loss
Proj Total: 172.0
D
Sim u155.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 18, 2026 LIP @ BELL 75 - 72
Jan 15, 2026 BELL @ LIP 71 - 81
Feb 1, 2025 BELL @ LIP 80 - 87
Jan 16, 2025 LIP @ BELL 87 - 53
Feb 28, 2024 BELL @ LIP 74 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +38.1% more
Lipscomb: 7.2 vs Bellarmine: 4.5
Turnovers (L5) +26.5% more
Lipscomb: 12.5 vs Bellarmine: 9.2
Rebounding (L5) +25.0% more
Lipscomb: 34.1 vs Bellarmine: 25.5
Blocks (L5) +8.4% more
Lipscomb: 3.0 vs Bellarmine: 2.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LIP Score 97.0 75
BELL Score 75.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 46.1 / 33.4 30.0 / 44.0
Assists 16.4 / 16.3 14.0 / 21.0
Blocks 2.7 / 3.0 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 51.2 / 45.9 48.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 87.4 / 77.2 64.0 / 90.0
Rebounding 25.5 / 34.1 33.0 / 30.0
Steals 4.5 / 7.2 8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 9.2 / 12.5 7.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
81%MONEY19%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
50%MONEY50%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
29%MONEY71%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIP Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
BELL
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIP
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
BELL Advantage
17-12-1 (58.6%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
LIP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.9
BELL
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +9.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BELL
LIP
BELL
LIP
ML
72% 23-9
71% 22-9
94% 29-2
66% 19-10
ATS
72% 23-9
71% 22-9
94% 29-2
66% 19-10
TTL
50% 16-16
58% 18-13
100% 31-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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