LAFAYETTE
LEOPARDSLAF
8-19 | Road
86
HOLY CROSS
CRUSADERSHC
9-18 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
LEOPARDS
100%
CRUSADERS
0%
LEOPARDS
--
CRUSADERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
HOLY CROSS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Holy Cross)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HC -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HC)
LAF By 1-7 points
0.0%
LAF By 8-14 points
0.0%
HC By 1-7 points
0.5%
HC By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Lafayette
47
LAFAYETTE
Holy Cross
80
HOLY CROSS
Simulated Score
Lafayette
67
LAFAYETTE
Holy Cross
72
HOLY CROSS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Crusaders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Crusaders
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Crusaders (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim
Crusaders (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u139.5
Loss
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 3, 2026
HC @ LAF
82 - 77
Feb 18, 2026
LAF @ HC
86 - 83
Jan 17, 2026
HC @ LAF
55 - 74
Mar 4, 2025
HC @ LAF
68 - 69
Feb 19, 2025
LAF @ HC
69 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+57.7% more
Holy Cross: 2.2
vs
Lafayette: 1.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.1%
Holy Cross: 78.7%
vs
Lafayette: 65.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.7%
Holy Cross: 31.9%
vs
Lafayette: 23.1%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.6%
Holy Cross: 43.3%
vs
Lafayette: 41.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAF Score
47.0
86
HC Score
80.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.9 / 23.1
40.0 / 47.0
Assists
9.7 / 12.9
14.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.2 / 1.4
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
43.3 / 41.7
57.0 / 56.0
Free Throw %
78.7 / 65.6
77.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
34.0 / 34.2
23.0 / 27.0
Steals
5.0 / 6.3
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
7.3 / 10.3
10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAF
Advantage
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
HC
11-22-0
(33.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAF
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
HC
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LAF
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
HC
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HC
LAF
HC
LAF
ML
52%
16-15
53%
17-15
61%
19-12
59%
19-13
ATS
55%
17-14
56%
18-14
64%
21-12
59%
19-13
TTL
58%
18-13
50%
16-16
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
