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KANSAS

JAYHAWKSKU

19-6  |  Road

81
FINAL
Wed, Feb 18 • 9:00 PM ET
Gallagher-Iba Arena
View Odds Details →

OKLAHOMA STATE

COWBOYSOKST

16-9  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
JAYHAWKS
100%
📊
COWBOYS
0%
JAYHAWKS --
COWBOYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
126.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
OKLAHOMA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Oklahoma State)
JayhawksKU (-3.5) 0 CowboysOKST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jayhawks Cover

11.5%

Cowboys Cover

88.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OKST -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OKST)

KU By 1-7 points

8.0%

KU By 8-14 points

2.2%

OKST By 1-7 points

20.1%

OKST By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
57
KANSAS
69
OKLAHOMA STATE
Simulated Score
67
KANSAS
78
OKLAHOMA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cowboys Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cowboys Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cowboys (+6.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Cowboys (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u158.5 Win
Proj Total: 126.0
D
Sim u158.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 18, 2026 KU @ OKST 81 - 69
Feb 22, 2025 OKST @ KU 64 - 96
Jan 30, 2024 OKST @ KU 54 - 83
Jan 16, 2024 KU @ OKST 90 - 66
Feb 14, 2023 KU @ OKST 87 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +36.2% more
Oklahoma State: 15.9 vs Kansas: 11.7
Steals (L5) +25.3% more
Oklahoma State: 6.6 vs Kansas: 5.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.0%
Oklahoma State: 35.6% vs Kansas: 31.6%
Blocks (L5) +45.3% more
Kansas: 6.0 vs Oklahoma State: 3.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KU Score 57.0 81
OKST Score 69.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.6 / 31.6 25.0 / 46.0
Assists 15.9 / 11.7 13.0 / 20.0
Blocks 3.3 / 6.0 0.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 44.5 / 43.6 35.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 67.1 / 78.9 76.0 / 88.0
Rebounding 35.2 / 36.8 38.0 / 41.0
Steals 6.6 / 5.3 8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.5 / 11.4 9.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
95%TICKETS5%
93%MONEY7%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
84%TICKETS16%
83%MONEY17%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
41%MONEY59%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KU Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 6.1 ATS +/-: +1.3
OKST
20-15-0 (57.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KU Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 6.1 ATS +/-: +1.3
OKST
16-19-0 (45.7%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
KU
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6% Total +/-: -4.1
OKST
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OKST
KU
OKST
KU
ML
60% 21-14
57% 20-15
66% 21-11
68% 21-10
ATS
57% 20-15
49% 17-18
66% 21-11
68% 21-10
TTL
57% 20-15
60% 21-14
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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