LA SALLE
EXPLORERSLAS
7-18 | Road
61
DUQUESNE
DUKESDUQ
15-10 | Home
62
AI Model Win Probability
EXPLORERS
0%
DUKES
100%
EXPLORERS
--
DUKES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
123.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+9.0
DUQUESNE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DUQ +9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DUQ)
LAS By 1-7 points
24.3%
LAS By 8-14 points
26.8%
DUQ By 1-7 points
12.2%
DUQ By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
La Salle
66
LA SALLE
Duquesne
57
DUQUESNE
Simulated Score
La Salle
70
LA SALLE
Duquesne
75
DUQUESNE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Explorers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dukes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dukes (+11.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +9.0
D
Sim
Dukes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 123.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 18, 2026
LAS @ DUQ
61 - 62
Feb 26, 2025
DUQ @ LAS
67 - 62
Feb 28, 2024
LAS @ DUQ
63 - 75
Mar 8, 2023
LAS @ DUQ
81 - 70
Feb 22, 2023
DUQ @ LAS
91 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+21.1% more
La Salle: 10.0
vs
Duquesne: 7.9
Rebounding (L5)
+8.0% more
La Salle: 34.1
vs
Duquesne: 31.4
Steals (L5)
+25.6% more
Duquesne: 8.8
vs
La Salle: 7.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+12.5%
Duquesne: 36.1%
vs
La Salle: 23.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAS Score
66.0
61
DUQ Score
57.0
62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.1 / 23.6
15.0 / 30.0
Assists
13.0 / 13.2
8.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.8 / 2.8
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.7 / 38.4
48.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
73.4 / 69.7
68.0 / 58.0
Rebounding
31.4 / 34.1
31.0 / 34.0
Steals
8.8 / 7.0
9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
7.9 / 10.0
18.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAS
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -0.3
DUQ
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAS
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -0.3
DUQ
Advantage
14-16-1
(46.7%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LAS
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -0.5
DUQ
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DUQ
LAS
DUQ
LAS
ML
53%
17-15
69%
22-10
58%
18-13
69%
22-10
ATS
69%
22-10
78%
25-7
58%
18-13
69%
22-10
TTL
50%
16-16
66%
21-11
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
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