Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Gamecocks @ Bulldogs JXST @ LT

JACKSONVILLE STATE

GAMECOCKSJXST

13-12  |  Road

71
FINAL
Wed, Feb 18 • 7:30 PM ET
Thomas Assembly Center
View Odds Details →

LOUISIANA TECH

BULLDOGSLT

14-11  |  Home

77
AI Model Win Probability
GAMECOCKS
100%
📊
BULLDOGS
0%
GAMECOCKS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
195.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
LOUISIANA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Louisiana Tech)
GamecocksJXST (-3.5) 0 BulldogsLT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Gamecocks Cover

24.2%

Bulldogs Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LT -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LT)

JXST By 1-7 points

15.3%

JXST By 8-14 points

5.8%

LT By 1-7 points

26.2%

LT By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
94
JACKSONVILLE STATE
101
LOUISIANA TECH
Simulated Score
70
JACKSONVILLE STATE
75
LOUISIANA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs (-2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o132.5 Win
Proj Total: 195.0
D
Sim u132.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 18, 2026 JXST @ LT 71 - 77
Jan 17, 2026 LT @ JXST 60 - 64
Feb 15, 2025 JXST @ LT 70 - 68
Jan 16, 2025 LT @ JXST 61 - 63
Feb 15, 2024 JXST @ LT 58 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +111.3% more
Louisiana Tech: 5.4 vs Jacksonville State: 2.6
Steals (L5) +68.8% more
Louisiana Tech: 8.7 vs Jacksonville State: 5.1
Turnovers (L5) +55.7% more
Louisiana Tech: 15.2 vs Jacksonville State: 9.8
Assists (L5) +10.2% more
Louisiana Tech: 11.6 vs Jacksonville State: 10.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
JXST Score 94.0 71
LT Score 101.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.3 / 34.0 40.0 / 46.0
Assists 11.6 / 10.5 23.0 / 13.0
Blocks 5.4 / 2.6 7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.8 / 42.6 55.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 64.2 / 67.8 58.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 35.4 / 34.9 36.0 / 29.0
Steals 8.7 / 5.1 8.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 15.2 / 9.8 15.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
30%MONEY70%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
81%MONEY19%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
45%MONEY55%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JXST
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: -0.1
LT Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JXST
13-15-1 (46.4%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: -0.1
LT Advantage
17-13-1 (56.7%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
JXST
17-11-1
O: 60.7% / U: 39.3% Total +/-: +0.4
LT
15-15-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LT
JXST
LT
JXST
ML
58% 19-14
50% 16-16
72% 23-9
55% 17-14
ATS
61% 20-13
62% 20-12
72% 23-9
55% 17-14
TTL
61% 20-13
62% 20-12
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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