Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Dukes @ Chanticleers JMU @ CCU

JAMES MADISON

DUKESJMU

14-13  |  Road

67
FINAL
Wed, Feb 18 • 7:00 PM ET
The HTC Center
View Odds Details →

COASTAL CAROLINA

CHANTICLEERSCCU

16-11  |  Home

65
AI Model Win Probability
DUKES
0%
📊
CHANTICLEERS
100%
DUKES --
CHANTICLEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
103.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
JAMES MADISON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (James Madison)
DukesJMU (-3.5) 0 ChanticleersCCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dukes Cover

61.8%

Chanticleers Cover

38.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around JMU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JMU)

JMU By 1-7 points

27.2%

JMU By 8-14 points

20.1%

CCU By 1-7 points

21.6%

CCU By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
53
JAMES MADISON
50
COASTAL CAROLINA
Simulated Score
62
JAMES MADISON
75
COASTAL CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Dukes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Chanticleers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Dukes (-1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Chanticleers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 103.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 27, 2026 CCU @ JMU 69 - 68
Feb 18, 2026 JMU @ CCU 67 - 65
Feb 15, 2025 JMU @ CCU 74 - 73
Jan 30, 2025 CCU @ JMU 64 - 73
Mar 1, 2024 JMU @ CCU 86 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +37.4% more
James Madison: 5.6 vs Coastal Carolina: 3.5
Blocks (L5) +26.9% more
James Madison: 3.5 vs Coastal Carolina: 2.6
Assists (L5) +23.3% more
James Madison: 12.6 vs Coastal Carolina: 9.6
Field Goal % (L5) +1.5%
James Madison: 44.9% vs Coastal Carolina: 43.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
JMU Score 53.0 67
CCU Score 50.0 65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 42.7 / 34.9 24.0 / 35.0
Assists 9.6 / 12.6 8.0 / 7.0
Blocks 2.6 / 3.5 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 43.4 / 44.9 39.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 70.2 / 67.4 64.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 39.4 / 37.5 37.0 / 40.0
Steals 3.5 / 5.6 1.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 14.3 / 10.5 5.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
67%MONEY33%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
52%MONEY48%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
91%MONEY9%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JMU
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.5
CCU Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JMU
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.5
CCU Advantage
18-12-1 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
JMU
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: +3.4
CCU
17-13-1
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: -0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CCU
JMU
CCU
JMU
ML
41% 13-19
64% 21-12
55% 17-14
66% 21-11
ATS
38% 12-20
67% 22-11
55% 17-14
66% 21-11
TTL
75% 24-8
67% 22-11
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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