AI Model Win Probability
49ERS
0%
GOLDEN HURRICANE
100%
49ERS
--
GOLDEN HURRICANE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+8.0
TULSA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TLSA +8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TLSA)
CLT By 1-7 points
25.3%
CLT By 8-14 points
26.2%
TLSA By 1-7 points
13.7%
TLSA By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
85
CHARLOTTE
Tulsa
77
TULSA
Simulated Score
Charlotte
71
CHARLOTTE
Tulsa
75
TULSA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
49ers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Hurricane
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Hurricane (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +8.0
D
Sim
Golden Hurricane (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o150.5
Win
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 18, 2026
CLT @ TLSA
74 - 79
Jan 14, 2026
TLSA @ CLT
86 - 74
Jan 12, 2025
CLT @ TLSA
63 - 69
Feb 24, 2024
CLT @ TLSA
67 - 69
Jan 10, 2024
TLSA @ CLT
76 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+40.3% more
Charlotte: 3.6
vs
Tulsa: 2.2
Turnovers (L5)
+18.0% more
Charlotte: 13.6
vs
Tulsa: 11.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.1%
Charlotte: 36.1%
vs
Tulsa: 33.1%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.7%
Charlotte: 46.2%
vs
Tulsa: 44.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLT Score
85.0
74
TLSA Score
77.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.1 / 36.1
44.0 / 39.0
Assists
12.4 / 11.6
18.0 / 17.0
Blocks
2.2 / 3.6
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.5 / 46.2
42.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
73.2 / 63.0
72.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
37.4 / 32.5
30.0 / 30.0
Steals
4.4 / 3.5
8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 13.6
11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLT
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +0.8
TLSA
Advantage
30-8-0
(79.0%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: +4.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLT
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +0.8
TLSA
Advantage
20-15-1
(57.1%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: +4.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CLT
19-13-1
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +3.7
TLSA
24-12-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TLSA
CLT
TLSA
CLT
ML
66%
25-13
62%
21-13
64%
23-13
67%
22-11
ATS
74%
28-10
68%
23-11
64%
23-13
67%
22-11
TTL
58%
22-16
65%
22-12
100%
36-0
100%
33-0