Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Hilltoppers @ Blue Hens WKU @ DEL

WESTERN KENTUCKY

HILLTOPPERSWKU

14-11  |  Road

88
FINAL
Wed, Feb 18 • 7:00 PM ET
Bob Carpenter Center
View Odds Details →

DELAWARE

BLUE HENSDEL

9-16  |  Home

87
AI Model Win Probability
HILLTOPPERS
0%
📊
BLUE HENS
100%
HILLTOPPERS --
BLUE HENS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
WESTERN KENTUCKY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (Western Kentucky)
HilltoppersWKU (-3.5) 0 Blue HensDEL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hilltoppers Cover

99.8%

Blue Hens Cover

0.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WKU -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WKU)

WKU By 1-7 points

1.4%

WKU By 8-14 points

5.8%

DEL By 1-7 points

0.1%

DEL By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
90
WESTERN KENTUCKY
61
DELAWARE
Simulated Score
72
WESTERN KENTUCKY
78
DELAWARE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Hilltoppers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Hens Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Hilltoppers (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim Blue Hens (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o139.5 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim u139.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 18, 2026 WKU @ DEL 88 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +29.0% more
Western Kentucky: 6.3 vs Delaware: 4.4
Rebounding (L5) +12.9% more
Western Kentucky: 35.8 vs Delaware: 31.2
Assists (L5) +9.2% more
Western Kentucky: 13.2 vs Delaware: 12.0
Blocks (L5) +15.6% more
Delaware: 2.0 vs Western Kentucky: 1.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WKU Score 90.0 88
DEL Score 61.0 87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.7 / 32.6 36.0 / 38.0
Assists 12.0 / 13.2 13.0 / 18.0
Blocks 2.0 / 1.7 2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 49.1 / 39.9 52.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 86.0 / 84.3 79.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 31.2 / 35.8 29.0 / 31.0
Steals 4.4 / 6.3 8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 10.7 8.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
72%MONEY28%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
50%MONEY50%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WKU Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 3.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
DEL
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -6.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WKU
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
DEL Advantage
15-14-1 (51.7%)
Margin: -6.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
WKU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.2
DEL
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEL
WKU
DEL
WKU
ML
45% 14-17
56% 18-14
52% 16-15
66% 21-11
ATS
61% 19-12
53% 17-15
52% 16-15
66% 21-11
TTL
65% 20-11
56% 18-14
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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