AI Model Win Probability
BLAZERS
0%
OWLS
100%
BLAZERS
--
OWLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
UAB
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (UAB)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UAB -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UAB)
UAB By 1-7 points
12.2%
UAB By 8-14 points
23.0%
TEM By 1-7 points
3.3%
TEM By 8-14 points
0.6%
AI Model Projected Score
UAB
83
UAB
Temple
66
TEMPLE
Simulated Score
UAB
76
UAB
Temple
72
TEMPLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blazers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blazers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blazers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Blazers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 18, 2026
UAB @ TEM
76 - 71
Feb 23, 2025
TEM @ UAB
64 - 80
Mar 17, 2024
TEM @ UAB
69 - 85
Mar 7, 2024
UAB @ TEM
100 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+41.5% more
UAB: 7.4
vs
Temple: 4.3
Rebounding (L5)
+14.8% more
UAB: 41.5
vs
Temple: 35.4
Turnovers (L5)
+29.4% more
Temple: 10.6
vs
UAB: 8.2
Assists (L5)
+15.3% more
Temple: 13.4
vs
UAB: 11.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UAB Score
83.0
76
TEM Score
66.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.6 / 26.2
7.0 / 31.0
Assists
13.4 / 11.6
11.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.4 / 3.3
5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
41.1 / 37.9
45.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
70.4 / 63.9
63.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
35.4 / 41.5
37.0 / 31.0
Steals
4.3 / 7.4
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.6 / 8.2
5.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UAB
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
TEM
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UAB
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
TEM
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UAB
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.8
TEM
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEM
UAB
TEM
UAB
ML
62%
20-12
59%
19-13
67%
20-10
41%
13-19
ATS
56%
18-14
56%
18-14
67%
20-10
41%
13-19
TTL
69%
22-10
69%
22-10
100%
30-0
100%
32-0