Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Vikings @ Penguins CLE @ YSU

CLEVELAND STATE

VIKINGSCLE

10-17  |  Road

82
FINAL
Wed, Feb 18 • 6:30 PM ET
Beeghly Center
View Odds Details →

YOUNGSTOWN STATE

PENGUINSYSU

13-14  |  Home

106
AI Model Win Probability
VIKINGS
100%
📊
PENGUINS
0%
VIKINGS --
PENGUINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Youngstown State)
VikingsCLE (-3.5) 0 PenguinsYSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Vikings Cover

9.7%

Penguins Cover

90.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around YSU -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (YSU)

CLE By 1-7 points

6.8%

CLE By 8-14 points

1.7%

YSU By 1-7 points

18.6%

YSU By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
64
CLEVELAND STATE
77
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Simulated Score
70
CLEVELAND STATE
76
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Penguins Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Penguins Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Penguins (-11.5) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Penguins (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u157.5 Loss
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 18, 2026 CLE @ YSU 82 - 106
Jan 17, 2026 YSU @ CLE 78 - 80
Mar 10, 2025 YSU @ CLE 56 - 54
Feb 16, 2025 YSU @ CLE 68 - 60
Jan 11, 2025 CLE @ YSU 80 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +19.1% more
Youngstown State: 32.3 vs Cleveland State: 27.2
Turnovers (L5) +18.3% more
Youngstown State: 12.6 vs Cleveland State: 10.6
Blocks (L5) +16.3% more
Youngstown State: 3.7 vs Cleveland State: 3.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.2%
Cleveland State: 37.6% vs Youngstown State: 31.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 64.0 82
YSU Score 77.0 106
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.5 / 37.6 64.0 / 34.0
Assists 15.6 / 16.7 21.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.7 / 3.2 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 48.1 / 47.0 63.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 78.9 / 80.2 76.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 32.3 / 27.2 38.0 / 25.0
Steals 6.1 / 6.1 5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.6 / 10.6 11.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
49%MONEY51%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
59%MONEY41%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
72%MONEY28%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -0.3
YSU Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE Advantage
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -0.3
YSU
10-18-1 (35.7%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +6.3
YSU
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3% Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
YSU
CLE
YSU
CLE
ML
57% 17-13
52% 17-16
67% 20-10
64% 21-12
ATS
47% 14-16
64% 21-12
67% 20-10
64% 21-12
TTL
60% 18-12
52% 17-16
100% 30-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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