Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Zips @ Broncos AKR @ WMU

AKRON

ZIPSAKR

20-5  |  Road

90
FINAL
Tue, Feb 17 • 7:00 PM ET
University Arena (MI)
View Odds Details →

WESTERN MICHIGAN

BRONCOSWMU

9-16  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
ZIPS
0%
📊
BRONCOS
100%
ZIPS --
BRONCOS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
181.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
AKRON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Akron)
ZipsAKR (-3.5) 0 BroncosWMU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Zips Cover

98.2%

Broncos Cover

1.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around AKR -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AKR)

AKR By 1-7 points

6.8%

AKR By 8-14 points

16.9%

WMU By 1-7 points

1.4%

WMU By 8-14 points

0.2%

AI Model Projected Score
101
AKRON
80
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
62
AKRON
78
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Zips Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Broncos Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Zips (+14) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim Broncos (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o159.0 Win
Proj Total: 181.0
D
Sim u159.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 17, 2026 AKR @ WMU 90 - 73
Jan 17, 2026 WMU @ AKR 89 - 104
Feb 11, 2025 WMU @ AKR 92 - 105
Mar 8, 2024 AKR @ WMU 84 - 90
Jan 16, 2024 WMU @ AKR 66 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +28.8% more
Akron: 5.8 vs Western Michigan: 4.1
Assists (L5) +25.0% more
Akron: 15.8 vs Western Michigan: 11.9
Turnovers (L5) +18.1% more
Akron: 10.8 vs Western Michigan: 8.8
Field Goal % (L5) +3.7%
Akron: 44.8% vs Western Michigan: 41.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
AKR Score 101.0 90
WMU Score 80.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 42.9 / 33.4 41.0 / 43.0
Assists 11.9 / 15.8 12.0 / 17.0
Blocks 2.8 / 2.6 1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 41.1 / 44.8 44.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 76.9 / 78.3 77.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 37.3 / 35.0 27.0 / 43.0
Steals 4.1 / 5.8 1.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 8.8 / 10.8 9.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
96%TICKETS4%
84%MONEY16%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
76%MONEY24%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
54%MONEY46%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AKR Advantage
29-6-0 (82.9%)
Margin: 13.9 ATS +/-: +1.3
WMU
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -4.7 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AKR
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 13.9 ATS +/-: +1.3
WMU Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -4.7 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
AKR
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: +0.2
WMU
18-11-0
O: 62.1% / U: 37.9% Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WMU
AKR
WMU
AKR
ML
60% 18-12
71% 24-10
70% 21-9
65% 22-12
ATS
67% 20-10
76% 26-8
70% 21-9
65% 22-12
TTL
57% 17-13
59% 20-14
100% 30-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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