Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Panthers GRAM @ PV

GRAMBLING

TIGERSGRAM

11-13  |  Road

63
FINAL
Mon, Feb 16 • 7:00 PM ET
William Nicks Building
View Odds Details →

PRAIRIE VIEW A&M

PANTHERSPV

9-16  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
TIGERS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
125.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Prairie View A&M)
TigersGRAM (-3.5) 0 PanthersPV (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

18.4%

Panthers Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PV -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PV)

GRAM By 1-7 points

12.2%

GRAM By 8-14 points

4.0%

PV By 1-7 points

24.3%

PV By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
58
GRAMBLING
67
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Simulated Score
71
GRAMBLING
75
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 125.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 16, 2026 GRAM @ PV 63 - 68
Jan 3, 2026 PV @ GRAM 72 - 76
Feb 17, 2025 PV @ GRAM 48 - 70
Jan 4, 2025 GRAM @ PV 55 - 73
Feb 19, 2024 GRAM @ PV 83 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +24.9% more
Prairie View A&M: 3.1 vs Grambling: 2.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.7%
Prairie View A&M: 31.7% vs Grambling: 26.9%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.5%
Prairie View A&M: 44.6% vs Grambling: 41.1%
Assists (L5) +11.6% more
Grambling: 11.4 vs Prairie View A&M: 10.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GRAM Score 58.0 63
PV Score 67.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.7 / 26.9 9.0 / 41.0
Assists 10.1 / 11.4 8.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.1 / 2.5 13.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 44.6 / 41.1 40.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 75.2 / 75.5 79.0 / 91.0
Rebounding 29.8 / 33.4 29.0 / 36.0
Steals 7.0 / 7.3 5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.4 / 12.9 10.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
73%MONEY27%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
48%MONEY52%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
38%MONEY62%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GRAM
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
PV Advantage
19-18-0 (51.3%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-: +2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GRAM
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
PV Advantage
22-10-0 (68.8%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-: +2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
GRAM
10-21-0
O: 32.3% / U: 67.7% Total +/-: -4.0
PV
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5% Total +/-: -2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PV
GRAM
PV
GRAM
ML
59% 20-14
68% 21-10
68% 21-10
68% 17-8
ATS
56% 19-15
61% 19-12
68% 21-10
68% 17-8
TTL
50% 17-17
58% 18-13
100% 31-0
100% 25-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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