AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
0%
TIGERS
100%
WILDCATS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
130.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
JACKSON STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around JKST +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JKST)
BCU By 1-7 points
27.4%
BCU By 8-14 points
21.6%
JKST By 1-7 points
20.1%
JKST By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Bethune-Cookman
67
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
Jackson State
63
JACKSON STATE
Simulated Score
Bethune-Cookman
65
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
Jackson State
70
JACKSON STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wildcats
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u149.5
Loss
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 16, 2026
BCU @ JKST
86 - 91
Jan 24, 2026
JKST @ BCU
48 - 85
Mar 14, 2025
BCU @ JKST
50 - 71
Feb 17, 2025
JKST @ BCU
84 - 71
Jan 25, 2025
BCU @ JKST
81 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+29.4% more
Bethune-Cookman: 6.5
vs
Jackson State: 4.6
Turnovers (L5)
+24.8% more
Bethune-Cookman: 16.6
vs
Jackson State: 12.5
Blocks (L5)
+9.8% more
Bethune-Cookman: 5.1
vs
Jackson State: 4.6
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.9%
Bethune-Cookman: 46.3%
vs
Jackson State: 42.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BCU Score
67.0
86
JKST Score
63.0
91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.4 / 31.3
50.0 / 18.0
Assists
12.2 / 13.1
13.0 / 15.0
Blocks
4.6 / 5.1
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
42.4 / 46.3
48.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
76.3 / 65.6
77.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
40.5 / 39.7
33.0 / 36.0
Steals
4.6 / 6.5
11.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 16.6
13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BCU
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
JKST
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -13.5
ATS +/-: -3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BCU
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
JKST
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -13.5
ATS +/-: -3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
BCU
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +2.3
JKST
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +4.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JKST
BCU
JKST
BCU
ML
77%
24-7
68%
21-10
73%
19-7
79%
22-6
ATS
77%
24-7
65%
20-11
73%
19-7
79%
22-6
TTL
58%
18-13
48%
15-16
100%
26-0
100%
28-0