BETHUNE-COOKMAN

WILDCATSBCU

13-12  |  Road

86
FINAL
Mon, Feb 16 • 7:00 PM ET
Lee E. Williams Athletics and Assembly Center
View Odds Details →

JACKSON STATE

TIGERSJKST

8-17  |  Home

91
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
0%
📊
TIGERS
100%
WILDCATS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
130.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
JACKSON STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
WildcatsBCU (-3.5) 0 TigersJKST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

34.5%

Tigers Cover

65.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around JKST +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JKST)

BCU By 1-7 points

27.4%

BCU By 8-14 points

21.6%

JKST By 1-7 points

20.1%

JKST By 8-14 points

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
67
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
63
JACKSON STATE
Simulated Score
65
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
70
JACKSON STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Wildcats Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u149.5 Loss
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Sim u149.5 Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 16, 2026 BCU @ JKST 86 - 91
Jan 24, 2026 JKST @ BCU 48 - 85
Mar 14, 2025 BCU @ JKST 50 - 71
Feb 17, 2025 JKST @ BCU 84 - 71
Jan 25, 2025 BCU @ JKST 81 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +29.4% more
Bethune-Cookman: 6.5 vs Jackson State: 4.6
Turnovers (L5) +24.8% more
Bethune-Cookman: 16.6 vs Jackson State: 12.5
Blocks (L5) +9.8% more
Bethune-Cookman: 5.1 vs Jackson State: 4.6
Field Goal % (L5) +3.9%
Bethune-Cookman: 46.3% vs Jackson State: 42.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BCU Score 67.0 86
JKST Score 63.0 91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.4 / 31.3 50.0 / 18.0
Assists 12.2 / 13.1 13.0 / 15.0
Blocks 4.6 / 5.1 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 42.4 / 46.3 48.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 76.3 / 65.6 77.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 40.5 / 39.7 33.0 / 36.0
Steals 4.6 / 6.5 11.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.5 / 16.6 13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
89%TICKETS11%
78%MONEY22%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
79%MONEY21%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
65%MONEY35%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BCU Advantage
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -0.6
JKST
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -13.5 ATS +/-: -3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BCU Advantage
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -0.6
JKST
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -13.5 ATS +/-: -3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
BCU
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +2.3
JKST
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +4.2