Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Ragin' Cajuns @ Monarchs UL @ ODU

LOUISIANA

RAGIN' CAJUNSUL

9-17  |  Road

72
FINAL
Mon, Feb 16 • 5:00 PM ET
Chartway Arena
View Odds Details →

OLD DOMINION

MONARCHSODU

9-18  |  Home

83
AI Model Win Probability
RAGIN' CAJUNS
100%
📊
MONARCHS
0%
RAGIN' CAJUNS --
MONARCHS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
OLD DOMINION
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Old Dominion)
Ragin' CajunsUL (-3.5) 0 MonarchsODU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ragin' Cajuns Cover

1.1%

Monarchs Cover

98.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ODU -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ODU)

UL By 1-7 points

0.8%

UL By 8-14 points

0.1%

ODU By 1-7 points

4.8%

ODU By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
59
LOUISIANA
82
OLD DOMINION
Simulated Score
69
LOUISIANA
73
OLD DOMINION
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Monarchs Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Monarchs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Monarchs (-5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim Monarchs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o135.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u135.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 16, 2026 UL @ ODU 72 - 83
Mar 5, 2025 UL @ ODU 49 - 67
Jan 9, 2025 ODU @ UL 71 - 60
Feb 15, 2024 UL @ ODU 68 - 60
Dec 31, 2022 UL @ ODU 66 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +50.8% more
Old Dominion: 16.6 vs Louisiana: 11.0
Blocks (L5) +42.8% more
Old Dominion: 4.4 vs Louisiana: 3.1
Rebounding (L5) +27.2% more
Old Dominion: 37.6 vs Louisiana: 29.5
Field Goal % (L5) +5.8%
Old Dominion: 48.6% vs Louisiana: 42.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UL Score 59.0 72
ODU Score 82.0 83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.1 / 37.8 36.0 / 35.0
Assists 16.6 / 11.0 15.0 / 8.0
Blocks 4.4 / 3.1 4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 48.6 / 42.8 57.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 69.2 / 80.3 81.0 / 72.0
Rebounding 37.6 / 29.5 29.0 / 35.0
Steals 4.5 / 6.2 3.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.1 / 9.8 8.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
12%TICKETS88%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
48%MONEY52%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
55%MONEY45%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UL
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -0.8
ODU Advantage
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UL
14-18-1 (43.8%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -0.8
ODU Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
UL
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -0.3
ODU
21-10-1
O: 67.7% / U: 32.3% Total +/-: +3.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ODU
UL
ODU
UL
ML
52% 17-16
66% 21-11
67% 22-11
63% 19-11
ATS
70% 23-10
66% 21-11
67% 22-11
63% 19-11
TTL
70% 23-10
62% 20-12
100% 33-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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