OREGON STATE
BEAVERSORST
14-13 | Road
50
SEATTLE U
REDHAWKSSEA
15-11 | Home
60
AI Model Win Probability
BEAVERS
100%
REDHAWKS
0%
BEAVERS
--
REDHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
SEATTLE U
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Seattle U)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SEA -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
ORST By 1-7 points
3.3%
ORST By 8-14 points
0.6%
SEA By 1-7 points
12.2%
SEA By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Oregon State
61
OREGON STATE
Seattle U
78
SEATTLE U
Simulated Score
Oregon State
65
OREGON STATE
Seattle U
72
SEATTLE U
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Redhawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Redhawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Redhawks (-6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Redhawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o136.5
Loss
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 15, 2026
ORST @ SEA
50 - 60
Jan 8, 2026
SEA @ ORST
55 - 68
Dec 15, 2022
SEA @ ORST
58 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+30.1% more
Seattle U: 5.3
vs
Oregon State: 4.1
Turnovers (L5)
+28.7% more
Seattle U: 12.4
vs
Oregon State: 9.6
Blocks (L5)
+23.8% more
Seattle U: 4.3
vs
Oregon State: 3.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+13.1%
Oregon State: 45.7%
vs
Seattle U: 32.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORST Score
61.0
50
SEA Score
78.0
60
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.6 / 45.7
35.0 / 26.0
Assists
14.2 / 15.3
8.0 / 9.0
Blocks
4.3 / 3.5
5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
41.2 / 46.2
38.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
77.5 / 79.0
62.0 / 55.0
Rebounding
32.1 / 32.2
37.0 / 32.0
Steals
5.3 / 4.1
8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.4 / 9.6
12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORST
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -0.1
SEA
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORST
Advantage
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -0.1
SEA
15-17-1
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
ORST
19-14-0
O: 57.6% / U: 42.4%
Total +/-: +1.1
SEA
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
ORST
SEA
ORST
ML
46%
16-19
45%
15-18
71%
24-10
59%
19-13
ATS
57%
20-15
48%
16-17
71%
24-10
59%
19-13
TTL
49%
17-18
55%
18-15
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
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