DENVER
PIONEERSDEN
13-14 | Road
76
OMAHA
MAVERICKSOMA
13-14 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
PIONEERS
0%
MAVERICKS
100%
PIONEERS
--
MAVERICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
168.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
OMAHA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OMA +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OMA)
DEN By 1-7 points
26.8%
DEN By 8-14 points
18.6%
OMA By 1-7 points
23.0%
OMA By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Denver
85
DENVER
Omaha
83
OMAHA
Simulated Score
Denver
73
DENVER
Omaha
76
OMAHA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pioneers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mavericks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mavericks (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Mavericks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o160.5
Loss
Proj Total: 168.0
D
Sim
u160.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 15, 2026
DEN @ OMA
76 - 83
Jan 31, 2026
OMA @ DEN
84 - 82
Feb 1, 2025
DEN @ OMA
69 - 78
Jan 15, 2025
OMA @ DEN
80 - 62
Mar 11, 2024
DEN @ OMA
66 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+9.9% more
Denver: 39.3
vs
Omaha: 35.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.5%
Denver: 40.6%
vs
Omaha: 38.1%
Blocks (L5)
+120.7% more
Omaha: 3.2
vs
Denver: 1.5
Steals (L5)
+33.1% more
Omaha: 4.9
vs
Denver: 3.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DEN Score
85.0
76
OMA Score
83.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.1 / 40.6
58.0 / 31.0
Assists
13.3 / 12.1
20.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.2 / 1.5
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
49.5 / 49.8
54.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
77.8 / 77.6
83.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
35.4 / 39.3
26.0 / 38.0
Steals
4.9 / 3.7
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 8.5
7.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEN
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +1.1
OMA
Advantage
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEN
Advantage
17-11-1
(60.7%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +1.1
OMA
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
DEN
20-8-1
O: 71.4% / U: 28.6%
Total +/-: +7.0
OMA
14-14-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OMA
DEN
OMA
DEN
ML
79%
26-7
56%
18-14
67%
22-11
59%
19-13
ATS
76%
25-8
66%
21-11
67%
22-11
59%
19-13
TTL
73%
24-9
59%
19-13
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
Big Ten Commissioner Tony Petitti Denies Any Expansion Talks Ami…
Aiden Tobiason Brings Sharpshooting and Playmaking to Syracuse B…
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
Cayden Boozer's Return to Duke: Trusting the Vision in a Loaded …
Aden Holloway Reinstated to Alabama Basketball Roster, Suspended…