BRADLEY

BRAVESBRAD

17-9  |  Road

70
FINAL
Sun, Feb 15 • 2:00 PM ET
Banterra Center
View Odds Details →

SOUTHERN ILLINOIS

SALUKISSIU

12-14  |  Home

60
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
0%
📊
SALUKIS
100%
BRAVES --
SALUKIS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
178.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
BravesBRAD (-3.5) 0 SalukisSIU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Braves Cover

42.1%

Salukis Cover

57.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SIU +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SIU)

BRAD By 1-7 points

26.8%

BRAD By 8-14 points

18.6%

SIU By 1-7 points

23.0%

SIU By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
90
BRADLEY
88
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Simulated Score
68
BRADLEY
72
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Braves Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Salukis Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Salukis (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim Salukis (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o146.5 Loss
Proj Total: 178.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 15, 2026 BRAD @ SIU 70 - 60
Dec 21, 2025 SIU @ BRAD 69 - 73
Feb 12, 2025 SIU @ BRAD 64 - 78
Dec 3, 2024 BRAD @ SIU 83 - 60
Feb 28, 2024 SIU @ BRAD 67 - 86
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +12.1%
Bradley: 41.4% vs Southern Illinois: 29.3%
Free Throw % (L5) +4.1%
Bradley: 78.2% vs Southern Illinois: 74.1%
Steals (L5) +55.7% more
Southern Illinois: 9.3 vs Bradley: 6.0
Blocks (L5) +38.5% more
Southern Illinois: 3.0 vs Bradley: 2.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BRAD Score 90.0 70
SIU Score 88.0 60
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.3 / 41.4 0.0 / 33.0
Assists 13.0 / 13.7 8.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.0 / 2.1 7.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 46.7 / 41.8 37.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 74.1 / 78.2 84.0 / 56.0
Rebounding 37.6 / 32.3 39.0 / 37.0
Steals 9.3 / 6.0 5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.0 / 10.2 10.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
37%MONEY63%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
64%MONEY36%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BRAD Advantage
21-13-0 (61.8%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
SIU
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.4 ATS +/-: +1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BRAD
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
SIU Advantage
16-15-0 (51.6%)
Margin: 3.4 ATS +/-: +1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
BRAD
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +5.6
SIU
9-22-0
O: 29.0% / U: 71.0% Total +/-: -5.5