AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
0%
SALUKIS
100%
BRAVES
--
SALUKIS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
178.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SIU +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SIU)
BRAD By 1-7 points
26.8%
BRAD By 8-14 points
18.6%
SIU By 1-7 points
23.0%
SIU By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Bradley
90
BRADLEY
Southern Illinois
88
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Simulated Score
Bradley
68
BRADLEY
Southern Illinois
72
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Braves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Salukis
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Salukis (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Salukis (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o146.5
Loss
Proj Total: 178.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 15, 2026
BRAD @ SIU
70 - 60
Dec 21, 2025
SIU @ BRAD
69 - 73
Feb 12, 2025
SIU @ BRAD
64 - 78
Dec 3, 2024
BRAD @ SIU
83 - 60
Feb 28, 2024
SIU @ BRAD
67 - 86
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+12.1%
Bradley: 41.4%
vs
Southern Illinois: 29.3%
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.1%
Bradley: 78.2%
vs
Southern Illinois: 74.1%
Steals (L5)
+55.7% more
Southern Illinois: 9.3
vs
Bradley: 6.0
Blocks (L5)
+38.5% more
Southern Illinois: 3.0
vs
Bradley: 2.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BRAD Score
90.0
70
SIU Score
88.0
60
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.3 / 41.4
0.0 / 33.0
Assists
13.0 / 13.7
8.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.0 / 2.1
7.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
46.7 / 41.8
37.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
74.1 / 78.2
84.0 / 56.0
Rebounding
37.6 / 32.3
39.0 / 37.0
Steals
9.3 / 6.0
5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 10.2
10.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BRAD
Advantage
21-13-0
(61.8%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
SIU
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BRAD
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
SIU
Advantage
16-15-0
(51.6%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
BRAD
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +5.6
SIU
9-22-0
O: 29.0% / U: 71.0%
Total +/-: -5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SIU
BRAD
SIU
BRAD
ML
53%
17-15
65%
22-12
47%
15-17
68%
23-11
ATS
56%
18-14
59%
20-14
47%
15-17
68%
23-11
TTL
53%
17-15
68%
23-11
100%
32-0
100%
34-0