MARYLAND
TERRAPINSMD
10-14 | Road
57
RUTGERS
SCARLET KNIGHTSRUTG
9-15 | Home
68
AI Model Win Probability
TERRAPINS
0%
SCARLET KNIGHTS
100%
TERRAPINS
--
SCARLET KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
124.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
MARYLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Maryland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MD -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MD)
MD By 1-7 points
1.7%
MD By 8-14 points
6.8%
RUTG By 1-7 points
0.2%
RUTG By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Maryland
76
MARYLAND
Rutgers
48
RUTGERS
Simulated Score
Maryland
65
MARYLAND
Rutgers
68
RUTGERS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Terrapins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Scarlet Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Terrapins (-2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim
Scarlet Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 124.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 1, 2026
RUTG @ MD
69 - 65
Feb 15, 2026
MD @ RUTG
57 - 68
Feb 9, 2025
RUTG @ MD
81 - 90
Mar 13, 2024
RUTG @ MD
51 - 65
Feb 25, 2024
MD @ RUTG
63 - 46
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+14.6% more
Maryland: 12.4
vs
Rutgers: 10.6
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.7%
Maryland: 47.2%
vs
Rutgers: 43.5%
Assists (L5)
+44.1% more
Rutgers: 12.7
vs
Maryland: 8.8
Blocks (L5)
+16.9% more
Rutgers: 3.7
vs
Maryland: 3.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MD Score
76.0
57
RUTG Score
48.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.2 / 32.3
28.0 / 23.0
Assists
12.7 / 8.8
12.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.7 / 3.2
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
43.5 / 47.2
42.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
66.2 / 65.9
79.0 / 46.0
Rebounding
31.4 / 31.0
38.0 / 41.0
Steals
4.2 / 3.9
3.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.6 / 12.4
10.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MD
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -2.6
RUTG
Advantage
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MD
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -2.6
RUTG
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MD
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: -0.8
RUTG
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2%
Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RUTG
MD
RUTG
MD
ML
53%
18-16
70%
23-10
70%
23-10
67%
22-11
ATS
68%
23-11
64%
21-12
70%
23-10
67%
22-11
TTL
53%
18-16
64%
21-12
100%
33-0
100%
33-0
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