Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Raiders @ Vikings WRST @ CLE

WRIGHT STATE

RAIDERSWRST

16-10  |  Road

102
FINAL
Sun, Feb 15 • 2:00 PM ET
Wolstein Center
View Odds Details →

CLEVELAND STATE

VIKINGSCLE

10-16  |  Home

90
AI Model Win Probability
RAIDERS
0%
📊
VIKINGS
100%
RAIDERS --
VIKINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
WRIGHT STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Wright State)
RaidersWRST (-3.5) 0 VikingsCLE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Raiders Cover

99.7%

Vikings Cover

0.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WRST -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WRST)

WRST By 1-7 points

2.2%

WRST By 8-14 points

8.0%

CLE By 1-7 points

0.3%

CLE By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
77
WRIGHT STATE
50
CLEVELAND STATE
Simulated Score
72
WRIGHT STATE
78
CLEVELAND STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Raiders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Vikings Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Raiders (+7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim Vikings (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u157.5 Loss
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 4, 2026 CLE @ WRST 61 - 90
Feb 15, 2026 WRST @ CLE 102 - 90
Jan 21, 2026 CLE @ WRST 85 - 79
Feb 27, 2025 CLE @ WRST 76 - 82
Dec 29, 2024 WRST @ CLE 64 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +15.8% more
Wright State: 35.9 vs Cleveland State: 30.2
Blocks (L5) +13.9% more
Wright State: 3.8 vs Cleveland State: 3.3
Assists (L5) +17.5% more
Cleveland State: 16.0 vs Wright State: 13.7
Turnovers (L5) +16.0% more
Cleveland State: 11.0 vs Wright State: 9.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WRST Score 77.0 102
CLE Score 50.0 90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.9 / 30.0 43.0 / 71.0
Assists 16.0 / 13.7 18.0 / 21.0
Blocks 3.3 / 3.8 3.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 44.6 / 44.1 52.0 / 62.0
Free Throw % 78.7 / 72.4 83.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 30.2 / 35.9 21.0 / 36.0
Steals 5.6 / 5.8 7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 11.0 / 9.5 10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
93%TICKETS7%
70%MONEY30%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
66%MONEY34%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WRST Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
CLE
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WRST Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
CLE
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
WRST
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +3.3
CLE
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +6.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
WRST
CLE
WRST
ML
52% 17-16
37% 13-22
64% 21-12
63% 22-13
ATS
64% 21-12
46% 16-19
64% 21-12
63% 22-13
TTL
52% 17-16
63% 22-13
100% 33-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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