Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Grizzlies @ Colonials OAK @ RMU

OAKLAND

GOLDEN GRIZZLIESOAK

14-12  |  Road

69
FINAL
Sun, Feb 15 • 2:00 PM ET
UPMC Events Center
View Odds Details →

ROBERT MORRIS

COLONIALSRMU

17-10  |  Home

93
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES
0%
📊
COLONIALS
100%
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES --
COLONIALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
169.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
OAKLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Oakland)
Golden GrizzliesOAK (-3.5) 0 ColonialsRMU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Grizzlies Cover

95.5%

Colonials Cover

4.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OAK -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OAK)

OAK By 1-7 points

12.2%

OAK By 8-14 points

23.0%

RMU By 1-7 points

3.3%

RMU By 8-14 points

0.6%

AI Model Projected Score
93
OAKLAND
76
ROBERT MORRIS
Simulated Score
66
OAKLAND
79
ROBERT MORRIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Golden Grizzlies Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Colonials Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Golden Grizzlies (-1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim Colonials (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o156.5 Win
Proj Total: 169.0
D
Sim u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 15, 2026 OAK @ RMU 69 - 93
Jan 4, 2026 RMU @ OAK 73 - 96
Mar 10, 2025 OAK @ RMU 76 - 79
Jan 25, 2025 OAK @ RMU 71 - 73
Jan 4, 2025 RMU @ OAK 79 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +48.4% more
Oakland: 8.3 vs Robert Morris: 4.3
Blocks (L5) +34.9% more
Oakland: 4.8 vs Robert Morris: 3.1
Free Throw % (L5) +3.1%
Oakland: 72.6% vs Robert Morris: 69.4%
Assists (L5) +14.9% more
Robert Morris: 17.6 vs Oakland: 15.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OAK Score 93.0 69
RMU Score 76.0 93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.9 / 33.7 43.0 / 31.0
Assists 17.6 / 15.3 31.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.1 / 4.8 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 48.8 / 48.8 58.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 69.4 / 72.6 40.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 37.8 / 34.4 40.0 / 31.0
Steals 4.3 / 8.3 4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 12.0 11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
34%MONEY66%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
52%MONEY48%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
42%MONEY58%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OAK
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -0.1
RMU Advantage
22-11-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 5.3 ATS +/-: +2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OAK
17-14-0 (54.8%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -0.1
RMU Advantage
19-11-1 (63.3%)
Margin: 5.3 ATS +/-: +2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
OAK
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7% Total +/-: +4.0
RMU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RMU
OAK
RMU
OAK
ML
36% 12-21
62% 20-12
56% 18-14
59% 19-13
ATS
55% 18-15
50% 16-16
56% 18-14
59% 19-13
TTL
55% 18-15
62% 20-12
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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