CORNELL
BIG REDCOR
12-10 | Road
76
PENNSYLVANIA
QUAKERSPENN
12-10 | Home
82
AI Model Win Probability
BIG RED
100%
QUAKERS
0%
BIG RED
--
QUAKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-36.0
PENNSYLVANIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +36.0 points (Pennsylvania)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PENN -36.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PENN)
COR By 1-7 points
0.0%
COR By 8-14 points
0.0%
PENN By 1-7 points
0.2%
PENN By 8-14 points
1.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Cornell
53
CORNELL
Pennsylvania
89
PENNSYLVANIA
Simulated Score
Cornell
72
CORNELL
Pennsylvania
78
PENNSYLVANIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Quakers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Quakers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Quakers (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Sim
Quakers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u170.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u170.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
COR @ PENN
76 - 82
Jan 31, 2026
PENN @ COR
91 - 81
Feb 28, 2025
PENN @ COR
62 - 90
Jan 18, 2025
COR @ PENN
86 - 76
Mar 1, 2024
COR @ PENN
87 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+43.0% more
Pennsylvania: 4.4
vs
Cornell: 3.1
Assists (L5)
+32.4% more
Cornell: 20.9
vs
Pennsylvania: 14.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.7%
Cornell: 78.3%
vs
Pennsylvania: 68.6%
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.5%
Cornell: 52.9%
vs
Pennsylvania: 44.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COR Score
53.0
76
PENN Score
89.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.4 / 39.6
15.0 / 26.0
Assists
14.1 / 20.9
11.0 / 14.0
Blocks
4.4 / 3.1
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
44.4 / 52.9
43.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
68.6 / 78.3
66.0 / 48.0
Rebounding
33.1 / 32.4
40.0 / 41.0
Steals
7.5 / 8.2
9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
9.7 / 9.5
9.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COR
Advantage
15-13-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
PENN
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COR
Advantage
11-15-0
(42.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
PENN
--
⚖️ Over/Under
COR
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: +6.5
PENN
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PENN
COR
PENN
COR
ML
53%
16-14
44%
12-15
76%
22-7
63%
17-10
ATS
63%
19-11
59%
16-11
76%
22-7
63%
17-10
TTL
70%
21-9
78%
21-6
100%
29-0
100%
27-0
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