BROWN
BEARSBRWN
7-15 | Road
79
DARTMOUTH
BIG GREENDART
10-12 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
BEARS
100%
BIG GREEN
0%
BEARS
--
BIG GREEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
191.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DARTMOUTH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Dartmouth)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DART -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DART)
BRWN By 1-7 points
24.3%
BRWN By 8-14 points
13.7%
DART By 1-7 points
26.2%
DART By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Brown
95
BROWN
Dartmouth
96
DARTMOUTH
Simulated Score
Brown
70
BROWN
Dartmouth
75
DARTMOUTH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Big Green
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Big Green
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Big Green (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Big Green (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o138.0
Win
Proj Total: 191.0
D
Sim
u138.0
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
BRWN @ DART
79 - 76
Jan 31, 2026
DART @ BRWN
77 - 70
Mar 1, 2025
BRWN @ DART
58 - 78
Jan 25, 2025
DART @ BRWN
84 - 83
Mar 2, 2024
DART @ BRWN
67 - 89
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+12.8%
Dartmouth: 35.9%
vs
Brown: 23.1%
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.5%
Dartmouth: 81.1%
vs
Brown: 70.6%
Steals (L5)
+57.2% more
Brown: 7.9
vs
Dartmouth: 3.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BRWN Score
95.0
79
DART Score
96.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.9 / 23.1
36.0 / 41.0
Assists
14.5 / 13.7
11.0 / 17.0
Blocks
3.5 / 3.3
1.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
42.0 / 41.3
50.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
81.1 / 70.6
81.0 / 47.0
Rebounding
31.7 / 33.8
25.0 / 30.0
Steals
3.4 / 7.9
4.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 12.1
17.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BRWN
9-18-0
(33.3%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: +1.6
DART
Advantage
11-16-0
(40.7%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BRWN
Advantage
14-12-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: +1.6
DART
11-14-0
(44.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
BRWN
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
DART
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DART
BRWN
DART
BRWN
ML
62%
16-10
56%
15-12
50%
13-13
67%
18-9
ATS
65%
17-9
59%
16-11
50%
13-13
67%
18-9
TTL
88%
23-3
59%
16-11
100%
26-0
100%
27-0
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